The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
St. Pauli 67.2%
Draw 19.3%
Erzgebirge Aue 13.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.8%
20.3%
13.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
78%
17.1%
11.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Pauli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
St. Pauli - Erzgebirge Aue Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).
St. Pauli has the most likely position - 1 (20.2%), has project points - 60, has currently - 36, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (42%), has a chance of win league (20%).
Aue has the most likely position - 17 (32.29%), has project points - 30, has currently - 14, has a good chance of relegated (67%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
St. Pauli is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Aue is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match St. Pauli is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 18 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 18-28.
Including matches at home between the teams St. Pauli won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-13.
Watch
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