Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 28

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Erzgebirgsstadion (Aue)

Referee: Oldhafer K. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Erzgebirge Aue		Preußen Münster

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	3	Watch
	2.3	3.5	2.85
	2.3	3.6	2.8	Watch
	2.24	3.6	2.95
	2.32	3.63	3.06
	2.25	3.4	2.7
	2.25	3.5	2.87	Watch
	2.27	3.45	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.39)	3.51 (3.51)	2.89 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erzgebirge Aue
41%

Draw
26.6%

Preußen Münster
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

26.6%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

26.8%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Preußen Münster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preußen Münster than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Erzgebirge Aue - Preußen Münster Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aue: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mannel M. (G) 2. Danhof T. 23. Barylla A. 13. Majetschak E. 26. Jakob K. 21. Schikora M. 10. Pepic M. 34. Stefaniak M. 14. Tashchy B. 11. Sijaric O. 15. Bar M.	35. Schulze M. (G) 27. ter Horst J. 42. Hahn A. 24. Koulis N. 22. Schad D. 11. Deters T. 32. Bazzoli L. 26. Mrowca S. 18. Lorenz M. 23. Batmaz M. 9. Grodowski J.
Substitutes
5. Burger K. 17. Elsner L. T. 40. Ferjani R. 16. Hetzsch F. 25. Kips T. (G) 9. Meuer S. 24. Nkansah S. 12. Schadlich F. 8. Schwirten J.	5. Bouchama Y. 20. Grote D. 6. Kok T. 7. Kyerewaa D. 10. Oubeyapwa S. 21. Preissinger R. 40. Schenk J. (G) 28. Steczyk D. 25. Wegkamp G.
Coaches
Dotchev P.	Hildmann S.

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 8 and 6).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Aue could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Aue won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Aue won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga
24.02.24	Jahn Regensburg - Erzgebirge Aue	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Erzgebirge Aue - Dynamo Dresden	2:1 ✺
11.02.24	Hallescher - Erzgebirge Aue	2:3 ✺
03.02.24	Erzgebirge Aue - 1860 München	0:0 ✺
27.01.24	Erzgebirge Aue - Lübeck	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 TWWTW
- Preußen Münster
German 3 Bundesliga
23.02.24	Preußen Münster - Duisburg	3:1 ✺
17.02.24	Lübeck - Preußen Münster	0:3 ✺
13.02.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Preußen Münster	2:3 ✺
10.02.24	Preußen Münster - Sandhausen	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Waldhof Mannheim - Preußen Münster	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
04.10.23	Preußen Münster - Erzgebirge Aue	4:0
14.05.16	Erzgebirge Aue - Preußen Münster	3:0
05.12.15	Preußen Münster - Erzgebirge Aue	0:1

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