Match Info

Date: 25 September 2020, Friday


	Erzgebirge Aue		Greuther Fürth

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.4	2.87	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.85
	2.43	3.4	2.8
	2.46	3.35	2.75
	2.53	3.45	2.92
	2.38	3.4	2.8	Watch
	2.41	3.6	2.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.45)	3.43 ↑ (3.39)	2.83 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erzgebirge Aue
38.9%

Draw
27.6%

Greuther Fürth
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

27.9%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

20.1%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Erzgebirge Aue that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Greuther Fürth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.4%	24.4%	12.2%

Erzgebirge Aue - Greuther Fürth Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 26 - 63.4%). Fürth will win (votes: 5 - 12.2%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 24.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aue: 48.7% – 78.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Aue has a small chance of relegated (15%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Fürth has a chance of relegated (16%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Recent matches Aue is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fürth is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Aue won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 21-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Aue won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erzgebirge Aue
German 2 Bundesliga
19.09.20	Würzburger Kickers - Erzgebirge Aue	0:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
12.09.20	Ulm 1846 - Erzgebirge Aue	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.09.20	Erzgebirge Aue - Dynamo Dresden	0:1 ✺
25.08.20	Erzgebirge Aue - Magdeburg	3:1 ✺
14.08.20	Erzgebirge Aue - Kickers Offenbach	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLWL
- Greuther Fürth
German 2 Bundesliga
20.09.20	Greuther Fürth - Osnabrück	1:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
12.09.20	Meinerzhagen - Greuther Fürth	1:6 ET ✺
Club Friendly
27.08.20	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Greuther Fürth	0:2 ✺
22.08.20	Hoffenheim - Greuther Fürth	1:0 ✺
14.08.20	Greuther Fürth - Unterhaching	3:0
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.9 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
21.12.19	Erzgebirge Aue - Greuther Fürth	3:1
28.07.19	Greuther Fürth - Erzgebirge Aue	0:2
12.05.19	Erzgebirge Aue - Greuther Fürth	1:1
08.12.18	Greuther Fürth - Erzgebirge Aue	0:5
19.03.18	Erzgebirge Aue - Greuther Fürth	2:1
15.10.17	Greuther Fürth - Erzgebirge Aue	2:1
10.02.17	Erzgebirge Aue - Greuther Fürth	0:0

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