Match Info

Date: 17 April 2022, Sunday


	Hoffenheim		Greuther Fürth

	1	X	2
	1.2	7	13	Watch
	1.19	7.5	13
	1.18	7.5	14
	1.19	7.2	13
	1.2	7.5	15.5
	1.18	7	15	Watch
	1.2	7.9	15.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.28)	7.37 ↑ (5.73)	14.11 ↑ (10.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hoffenheim
80.3%

Draw
13%

Greuther Fürth
6.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74%

16.5%

9.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hoffenheim's performance.

Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.5%	6.1%	20.4%

Hoffenheim - Greuther Fürth Predictions

Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 36 - 73.5%). Fürth will win (votes: 10 - 20.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 61.1% – 85.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Hoffenheim has the most likely position - 7 (28.96%), has project points - 52, has currently - 44, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (2%), has not chance of win league.

Fürth has the most likely position - 18 (99.88%), has project points - 19, has currently - 16, has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

This event has quality 59, very small importance 4, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

The competitors look crappy now.

Fürth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hoffenheim is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hoffenheim won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Hoffenheim won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSG Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga
10.04.22	RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim	3:0 ✺
02.04.22	Hoffenheim - Bochum	1:2 ✺
19.03.22	Hertha Berlin - Hoffenheim	3:0 ✺
12.03.22	Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich	1:1 ✺
06.03.22	Köln - Hoffenheim	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLLTW
- Greuther Fürth
German Bundesliga
09.04.22	Greuther Fürth - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:2 ✺
02.04.22	Eintracht Frankfurt - Greuther Fürth	0:0 ✺
19.03.22	Greuther Fürth - Freiburg	0:0 ✺
13.03.22	Greuther Fürth - RB Leipzig	1:6 ✺
05.03.22	Bochum - Greuther Fürth	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
27.11.21	Greuther Fürth - Hoffenheim	3:6
German DFB Pokal
22.12.20	Hoffenheim - Greuther Fürth	2:3 penalties
Club Friendly
22.08.20	Hoffenheim - Greuther Fürth	1:0
German Bundesliga
09.03.13	Greuther Fürth - Hoffenheim	0:3
19.10.12	Hoffenheim - Greuther Fürth	3:3
German DFB Pokal
08.02.12	Hoffenheim - Greuther Fürth	N/A

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