Match Info

3. Liga - Round 19

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Erzgebirgsstadion (Aue)

Referee: Weller F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 7
Germany	Magenta Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
World	Onefootball


	Erzgebirge Aue		Schweinfurt

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4	Watch
	1.78	3.7	4.05
	1.82	3.9	4.24
	1.76	3.84	4.15	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4
	1.71	3.64	4.17	Watch
	1.76	4	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.66)	3.74 ↓ (4.08)	4.06 ↓ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erzgebirge Aue
52.5%

Draw
24.7%

Schweinfurt
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

22.8%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

20.6%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Schweinfurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schweinfurt than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Erzgebirge Aue - Schweinfurt Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aue (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Erzgebirge Aue will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Lord L. (G) 17. Fallmann P. 16. Malone R. 25. Zobel T. 30. Seiffert M. 11. Uhlmann E. 13. Majetschak E. 8. Clausen M. 14. Tashchy B. 34. Stefaniak M. (C) 24. Ehlers J.	1. Stahl T. (G) 7. Langhans L. 6. Zeller L. 23. Kratschmer P. 11. Celebi E. 3. Angleberger D. 30. Geis J. (C) 21. Bausenwein L. 5. Grimbs N. 33. Endres J. 17. Tranziska J.
Substitutes
15. Bar M. 23. Barylla A. 29. Collins J. 10. Gunther-Schmidt J. 39. Schmid M. 37. Seidel P. 5. Simnica L. 36. Uhlig M. (G) 7. Weinhauer E.	13. Bohnlein K. 10. Dellinger M. 2. Doktorczyk N. 15. Fery K. 39. Ibisi A. 8. Meissner T. 9. Shuranov E. 40. Weisbacker M. (G) 25. Wintzheimer M.
Coaches
Hartel J.	Kleinhenz V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Kratschmer P. (Own goal),
24', Celebi E. 🟨,
25', Ehlers J. 🟨,
45', 2 - 0, Malone R. ⚽,
45', Stahl T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Zobel T. 🟨,
58', 3 - 0, Majetschak E. ⚽, Seiffert M. (A),
64', Langhans L. ↓, Bohnlein K. ↑,
64', Grimbs N. ↓, Wintzheimer M. ↑,
64', Tashchy B. ↓, Gunther-Schmidt J. ↑,
70', Stefaniak M. 🟨,
70', Celebi E. ↓, Ibisi A. ↑,
74', Uhlmann E. ↓, Simnica L. ↑,
74', Clausen M. ↓, Collins J. ↑,
75', Seiffert M. ↓, Weinhauer E. ↑,
83', Majetschak E. ↓, Barylla A. ↑,
83', Zeller L. ↓, Meissner T. ↑,
83', Endres J. ↓, Shuranov E. ↑,
90+3', 4 - 0, Stefaniak M. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Aue has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Schweinfurt has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Aue is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga
13.12.25	Duisburg - Erzgebirge Aue	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt	2:2 ✺
28.11.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Erzgebirge Aue	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	Erzgebirge Aue - VfB Stuttgart II	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Verl - Erzgebirge Aue	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TTLTT
- 1. FC Schweinfurt 05
German 3 Bundesliga
14.12.25	Schweinfurt - TSV Havelse	2:3 ✺
06.12.25	1860 München - Schweinfurt	3:1 ✺
29.11.25	Schweinfurt - Waldhof Mannheim	2:3 ✺
22.11.25	Hansa Rostock - Schweinfurt	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Schweinfurt - Hoffenheim II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLLW

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