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Current Win Probability
Wehen Wiesbaden 43.3%
Draw 26.2%
Erzgebirge Aue 30.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.3%
25.1%
29.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45%
24.9%
29.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wehen Wiesbaden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wehen Wiesbaden than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
6.2%
56.2%
Wehen Wiesbaden - Erzgebirge Aue Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Wehen will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Aue will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Aue: 32% โ 80.6%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Erzgebirge Aue will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Brdar N. (G) 27. Gillekens J. 19. Hubner F. 15. Janitzek J. 5. May N. 20. Johansson R. 11. Gozusirin T. 6. Fechner G. 29. Kaya F. (C) 28. Flotho M. 21. Wohlers O.
1. Mannel M. (C) 17. Fallmann P. 13. Majetschak E. 25. Zobel T. 30. Seiffert M. 20. Fabisch J. 11. Uhlmann E. 8. Clausen M. 10. Gunther-Schmidt J. 14. Tashchy B. 24. Ehlers J.
Substitutes
25. Agrafiotis N. 8. Bogicevic D. 7. Franjic I. 18. Greilinger F. 26. Lewald J. 41. Ludwig F. (G) 4. Mockenhaupt S. 22. Nejad M. 37. Schleimer L.
23. Barylla A. 9. Bornschein R. 29. Collins J. 27. Hetzsch F. 22. Lord L. (G) 37. Seidel P. 5. Simnica L. 7. Weinhauer E.
Coaches
Scherning D.
Hartel J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Majetschak E. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Gunther-Schmidt J. ⚽,
30', Uhlmann E. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', Fallmann P. 🟨,
53', 1 - 1, Janitzek J. ⚽, May N. (A),
60', Gozusirin T. 🟨,
61', Flotho M. ↓, Agrafiotis N. ↑,
61', Wohlers O. ↓, Schleimer L. ↑,
69', Seiffert M. ↓, Collins J. ↑,
69', Gunther-Schmidt J. ↓, Bornschein R. ↑,
73', Bogicevic D. ↓, Kaya F. ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Bogicevic D. ⚽, Johansson R. (A),
79', Tashchy B. ↓, Simnica L. ↑,
79', Ehlers J. ↓, Weinhauer E. ↑,
87', Gillekens J. 🟨,
88', Gozusirin T. ↓, Lewald J. ↑,
89', Johansson R. ↓, Greilinger F. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 1, Agrafiotis N. ⚽,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wehen won 2.
Recent form of Wehen has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Aue has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Wehen could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Wehen won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Wehen won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
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Brdar N. (G) 
Gillekens J. 
Johansson R. 
Fallmann P. 
Fabisch J. 
Tashchy B. 
Agrafiotis N. 
Collins J. 
Simnica L. 
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