Match Info

Primera Division - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Rafael Bolanos (El Coyol) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Costa Rica	17:00	FUTV


	Escorpiones de Belén		Deportivo Saprissa

	1	X	2
	6.50	4.20	1.36
	6.40	4.20	1.41	Watch
	8.33	4.81	1.38
	7	4.39	1.44	Watch
	8.20	4.55	1.37
	7.17	4.63	1.40	Watch
	6.60	4.50	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.17 ↑ (5.6)	4.47 ↑ (4.07)	1.39 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Escorpiones de Belén
12.9%

Draw
20.7%

Deportivo Saprissa
66.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16.6%

22.9%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.8%

21.7%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Escorpiones de Belén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Deportivo Saprissa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Saprissa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Escorpiones de Belén than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Saprissa than the current prediction. (-4%)

Escorpiones de Belén - Deportivo Saprissa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
76. Alvarez J. (G) 11. Fernandez A. 10. Fonseca G. 7. Hidalgo A. 2. Morera P. 8. Munoz C. 71. Ordonez C. 94. Ruiz J. 16. Salazar E. 15. Vega D. 21. Venegas J.	40. Madriz A. (G) 53. Carvajal J. 3. Arboine P. 21. Escobar F. 5. Mora J. 50. Elizondo M. 28. Torres G. 20. Torres M. (C) 23. Paradela L. 24. Sinclair O. 7. Williams N.
Substitutes
47. Camejo M. 77. Espinoza I. 80. Flores D. 6. Mena L. 1. Montenegro R. (G) 9. Montiel R. 18. Pena R. 99. Pimpinati D. 3. Tello J.	25. Acuna S. 13. Alfaro I. (G) 19. Arboine K. 22. Azofeifa Rivas J. M. 39. Barahona A. 8. Guzman D. 11. Hernandez B. 14. Rodriguez A. 26. Soto A. 4. Waston K.
Coaches
Arias A.	Medford H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Ruiz J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Elizondo M. ↓, Waston K. ↑,
60', Paradela L. 🟨,
64', Salazar E. 🟨,
68', Venegas J. ↓, Tello J. ↑,
68', Ruiz J. ↓, Montiel R. ↑,
70', Paradela L. ↓, Soto A. ↑,
71', Torres G. ↓, Arboine K. ↑,
72', Fonseca G. 🟨,
78', Sinclair O. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
78', Mora J. ↓, Azofeifa Rivas J. M. ↑,
80', Fernandez A. ↓, Mena L. ↑,
80', Vega D. ↓, Serrano J. ↑,
88', Fonseca G. ↓, Pena R. ↑,
90+4', Montiel R. 🟨,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 10th and 1st in the Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Playoffs - Semi - finals)).

Escorpiones has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Saprissa have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this match, Saprissa enters as the overwhelming favorite.

Our forecast points to a victory for Saprissa in today's match, at odds of 1.42.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Escorpiones has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Saprissa	13	8	0	5	27:14	13	24
9	Escorpiones	13	3	1	9	14:22	-8	10

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Saprissa - the odds 1.54 are the expected chance of winning is 60.48%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Escorpiones de Belén
Costa Rican Primera Division
19.09.26	Puntarenas FC - Escorpiones de Belén	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Escorpiones de Belén - Herediano	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	Escorpiones de Belén - Inter San Carlos	0:2 ✺
30.08.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Escorpiones de Belén	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Escorpiones de Belén - Cartagines	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Deportivo Saprissa
Costa Rican Primera Division
19.09.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Herediano	2:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
16.09.26	Cartagines - Deportivo Saprissa	3:2 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
13.09.26	Sporting San José - Deportivo Saprissa	4:2 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
09.09.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Cartagines	2:2 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
05.09.26	Alajuelense - Deportivo Saprissa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
30.08.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Escorpiones de Belén	2:1

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