Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 14

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Unión Tarma (Tarma) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Espinoza J. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Peru	11:00	Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
Usa	12:00	Fanatiz
Vietnam	23:00	TV 360


	ADT Tarma		Moquegua

	1	X	2
	1.50	4.00	6.00	Watch
	1.49	3.90	5.25
	1.55	4.10	5.80	Watch
	1.49	4.20	8.31
	1.56	3.98	5.6	Watch
	1.47	3.65	8.20
	1.52	4.05	6.08	Watch
	1.52	4.30	6.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.7)	4.02 ↑ (3.8)	6.41 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ADT Tarma
62%

Draw
23.3%

Moquegua
14.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.3%

24.7%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

22.3%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ADT Tarma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ADT Tarma's performance.

Moquegua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moquegua might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ADT Tarma that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moquegua could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

ADT Tarma - Moquegua Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. ADT will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Moquegua will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Valencia J. (G) 98. Ramos A. 99. Pereyra J. 44. Benincasa H. 59. Nunez O. 16. Perez L. 6. Ojeda A. 77. Lucumi J. 7. Rojas J. (C) 22. Rodriguez A. 24. Peralta S.	1. Grados C. (G) 4. Perleche A. 13. Lojas J. (C) 3. Enciso C. 15. Amasifuen N. 20. Ramirez D. 25. Chipao R. 7. Lastre E. 8. Mejia C. 17. Zapata Y. 11. Bryan Angulo
Substitutes
15. Alvino J. 10. Cedron V. 26. Garcilazo J. 27. Hidalgo A. 18. Mazzo A. 31. Navarro J. 3. Rugel L. 33. Solis C. (G) 28. Soto J.	10. Chavez N. 90. Collazos J. 16. Davila A. 29. Figueroa R. (G) 30. Granda J. 24. Lecaros A. 88. Lopez Y. 22. Montenegro E. 14. Ramirez C.
Coaches
Rivera V.	Soto Navarro J. V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Lojas J. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Lucumi J. (Penalty Awarded),
37', Amasifuen N. 🟨,
42', Enciso C. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Amasifuen N. ↓, Montenegro E. ↑,
46', Lastre E. ↓, Lopez Y. ↑,
46', Mejia C. ↓, Granda J. ↑,
64', Bryan Angulo ↓, Collazos J. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Peralta S. ⚽, Ramos A. (A),
69', Zapata Y. 🟨,
70', Perez L. 🟨,
71', Ojeda A. 🟨,
73', Zapata Y. ↓, Davila A. ↑,
73', Peralta S. ↓, Mazzo A. ↑,
81', Nunez O. 🟨,
84', Ojeda A. ↓, Alvino J. ↑,
84', Lucumi J. 🟨,
87', Lucumi J. ↓, Garcilazo J. ↑,

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 17th and 16th).

Both teams have struggled for positive results in recent outings.

Moquegua may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, ADT is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for ADT: Bauman J. (Red Card).

Confirmed absences for Moquegua: Ruiz K. (Muscle Injury).

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, ADT has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:2 (averaging 2:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for ADT against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	AD Tarma	14	2	4	8	11:24	-13	10
17	Moquegua	14	2	4	8	8:22	-14	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADT Tarma
Peruvian Liga 1
23.10.26	Atlético Grau - ADT Tarma	1:1 ✺
16.10.26	Los Chankas - ADT Tarma	2:1 ✺
10.10.26	ADT Tarma - Cajamarca	0:0 ✺
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
01.10.26	Sporting Cristal - ADT Tarma	5:0 ✺
27.09.26	ADT Tarma - Sporting Cristal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLTLL
- Deportivo Moquegua
Peruvian Liga 1
25.10.26	Moquegua - Alianza Lima	0:1 ✺
18.10.26	Cajamarca - Moquegua	0:1 ✺
08.10.26	Moquegua - Cienciano	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Juan Pablo II College - Moquegua	4:0 ✺
13.09.26	Moquegua - Sporting Cristal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Copa de la Liga
27.08.26	ADT Tarma - Moquegua	2:0
Peruvian Liga 1
09.05.26	Moquegua - ADT Tarma	2:2

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