Match Info

Copa de la Liga - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Unión Tarma (Tarma)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Juntos


	ADT Tarma		Moquegua

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.70	5.25
	1.52	3.75	6.1
	1.51	3.8	6.02
	1.55	3.85	6	Watch
	1.32	4.05	8
	1.6	3.61	5.94
	1.5	3.65	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.52)	3.77 ↑ (3.69)	6.16 ↑ (5.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ADT Tarma
60.9%

Draw
24.3%

Moquegua
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

24.7%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

24.5%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ADT Tarma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Moquegua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

ADT Tarma - Moquegua Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. ADT will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Moquegua will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Solis C. (G) 80. Canela Torres J. J. 26. Garcilazo J. 59. Nunez O. 16. Perez L. 98. Ramos A. 9. Rengifo H. 2. Reyes J. 7. Rojas J. (C) 3. Rugel L. 28. Soto J.	29. Figueroa R. (G) 10. Chavez N. 16. Davila A. 30. Granda J. (C) 6. Jimenez J. 24. Lecaros A. 22. Montenegro E. 9. Negron M. 66. Panizo M. 14. Ramirez C. 20. Ramirez D.
Substitutes
32. Bauman J. 44. Benincasa H. 27. Hidalgo A. 77. Lucumi J. 99. Mori E. (G) 23. Narvaez J. 6. Ojeda A. 24. Peralta S.	15. Amasifuen N. 90. Collazos J. 3. Enciso C. 18. Huayambi B. 88. Lopez Y. 8. Rojas L. 99. Sandoval H. (G) 35. Santillan Vargas E. M. 36. Vilela J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Rugel L. ⚽,
10', Perez L. 🟨,
18', Nunez O. 🟨,
22', Montenegro E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nunez O. ↓, Ojeda A. ↑,
46', Ramirez D. ↓, Collazos J. ↑,
46', Negron M. ↓, Amasifuen N. ↑,
60', Lecaros A. ↓, Lopez Y. ↑,
62', Rengifo H. ↓, Lucumi J. ↑,
62', Rojas J. ↓, Peralta S. ↑,
62', Rugel L. ↓, Narvaez J. ↑,
68', Canela Torres J. J. 🟨,
70', Canela Torres J. J. ↓, Hidalgo A. ↑,
76', Garcilazo J. 🟨,
79', Davila A. ↓, Santillan Vargas E. M. ↑,
79', Panizo M. ↓, Huayambi B. ↑,
80', Ramirez C. 🟨,
89', 2 - 0, Garcilazo J. ⚽,

Preview

ADT has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Moquegua's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, ADT is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, ADT won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADT Tarma
Peruvian Liga 1
22.08.26	Juan Pablo II College - ADT Tarma	5:1 ✺
15.08.26	ADT Tarma - Alianza Atlético	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Cajamarca - ADT Tarma	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	ADT Tarma - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Sport Boys - ADT Tarma	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTTLL
- Deportivo Moquegua
Peruvian Liga 1
22.08.26	Sport Huancayo - Moquegua	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Moquegua - Sport Boys	1:1 ✺
09.08.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Moquegua	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Moquegua - FBC Melgar	0:0 ✺
26.07.26	Cajamarca - Moquegua	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.4 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
09.05.26	Moquegua - ADT Tarma	2:2

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