Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - APERTURA - ROUND 16

Date: 22 May 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Briceno Rosamedina (Juliaca)


	Escuela Municipal Binacional		Unión Comercio

	1	X	2
	1.4	5	7.5	Watch
	1.34	4.75	6.5
	1.4	4.75	6.75
	1.37	5	7.58
	1.35	4.4	7.5
	1.38	5.05	7.4	Watch
	1.37	4.9	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.42)	4.84 ↑ (4.4)	7.18 ↑ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Escuela Municipal Binacional
67.8%

Draw
19.2%

Unión Comercio
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

20.9%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

19.8%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Escuela Municipal Binacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Unión Comercio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Escuela Municipal Binacional than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	7.7%	7.7%

Escuela Municipal Binacional - Unión Comercio Predictions

Users Predictions: Escuela Municipal Binacional will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Binacional won 3.

Recent matches Binacional is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Unión Comercio is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Unión Comercio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Binacional is indisputable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Binacional won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Binacional won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Escuela Municipal Binacional
Peruvian Liga 1
17.05.23	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Sporting Cristal	0:1 ✺
12.05.23	Escuela Municipal Binacional - ADT Tarma	1:0 ✺
05.05.23	Cantolao - Escuela Municipal Binacional	1:0 ✺
30.04.23	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Alianza Atlético	4:2 ✺
22.04.23	Cienciano - Escuela Municipal Binacional	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLWT
- Unión Comercio
Peruvian Liga 1
13.05.23	Unión Comercio - Sporting Cristal	1:6 ✺
08.05.23	Unión Comercio - FBC Melgar	1:1 ✺
30.04.23	Carlos A. Mannucci - Unión Comercio	2:0 ✺
23.04.23	Unión Comercio - Alianza Lima	1:3 ✺
10.04.23	Cantolao - Unión Comercio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
27.10.19	Unión Comercio - Escuela Municipal Binacional	0:2
11.05.19	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Unión Comercio	3:1
01.11.18	Unión Comercio - Escuela Municipal Binacional	1:1
06.08.18	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Unión Comercio	1:1
30.03.18	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Unión Comercio	3:0
12.02.18	Unión Comercio - Escuela Municipal Binacional	1:2

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