The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Escuela Municipal Binacional 74.4%
Draw 17.7%
Universidad San Martín 7.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55%
23.9%
21.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.5%
23.3%
20.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Escuela Municipal Binacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Escuela Municipal Binacional's performance.
Universidad San Martín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universidad San Martín might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Escuela Municipal Binacional than the current prediction. (-17.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Escuela Municipal Binacional that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad San Martín than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad San Martín could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Escuela Municipal Binacional - Universidad San Martín Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Azurin A. (G)
28. Caicedo Carvajal K. F.
11. Chavez D.
17. Crespo H.
18. Gonzales J.
25. Goyoneche P.
5. Lopez de Castilla J.
24. Moreno K.
16. Revilla J.
26. Rodriguez R.
8. Tello Y. (C)
Substitutes
9. Bazan V.
22. Chavez N.
27. Chipana J.
13. Iriarte M.
1. Loayza D. (G)
32. Mendoza G.
2. Pacheco O.
6. Palomino M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
40', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rodriguez R. ↓, Mendoza G. ↑,
46', Caicedo Carvajal K. F. ↓, Palomino M. ↑,
53', 🟨,
57', 🟨,
65', Revilla J. ↓, Iriarte M. ↑,
70', 🟨,
73', Soto J. ↓, Pumpido F. ↑,
74', Chavez D. ↓, Crespo H. ↑,
75', 🟨,
76', Palacios K. ↓, Matzuda M. ↑,
79', Arteaga A. ↓, Cano J. ↑,
82', Arteaga A. 🟥,
85', 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Binacional won 4.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Universidad San Martín could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Binacional is absolute favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Binacional won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Binacional won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16-0.
Watch
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Azurin A. (G) 
Caicedo Carvajal K. F. 
Chavez N. 
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