Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 2

Date: 8 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Banco Guayaquil (Quito)

Referee: Ospina J. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Startimes Sports Life
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Indonesia	Mola TV
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
South-america	ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South
Spain	beIN Sports
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	Disney+


	Independiente del Valle		Universitario de Deportes

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.9	7.5	Watch
	1.49	4	6.75
	1.52	3.75	7.4	Watch
	1.51	3.9	7.66	Watch
	1.44	3.9	7
	1.5	4.15	7.49	Watch
	1.52	3.75	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.53)	3.91 ↓ (4)	7.31 ↑ (6.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Libertadores with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Independiente del Valle
63%

Draw
24.1%

Universitario de Deportes
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

23.6%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

25.1%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Independiente del Valle - Universitario de Deportes Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1 - Ind del Valle (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Independiente del Valle will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Ind del Valle (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Uni de Deportes (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Villar G. (G) 2. Zarate L. 14. Carabajal M. (C) 19. Loor L. 13. Fernandez M. 21. Arroyo J. P. 6. Alcivar J. 7. Mercado P. 26. Cazares 9. Medina J. 17. Rodriguez A.	1. Britos S. (G) 24. Polo A. 29. Corzo A. (C) 3. Riveros W. 33. Inga C. 27. Carabali J. 18. Urena R. 10. Calcaterra H. 7. Velez J. 20. Valera A. 19. Flores E.
Substitutes
52. Angulo A. 15. Cortez G. 11. Hoyos M. 30. Ibarra R. 31. Pata E. 4. Quinonez O. 1. Ramirez M. (G) 23. Santamaria T. 10. Sornoza J. 77. Spinelli C. 33. Velasco A. 18. Zabala C.	16. Ancajima H. 12. Calderon A. (G) 17. Concha J. 8. Costa G. 34. Cruz E. 15. Diego Churin 55. Dulanto G. 36. Flores S. 23. Murrugarra J. 14. Reyna P. 11. Rivera J. 25. Vargas M. (G)
Coaches
Rabanal J.	Bustos F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Medina J. ↓, Spinelli C. ↑,
60', Rodriguez A. ↓, Pata E. ↑,
61', Arroyo J. P. ↓, Ibarra R. ↑,
64', Velez J. ↓, Concha J. ↑,
64', Calcaterra H. ↓, Murrugarra J. ↑,
68', Cazares ↓, Sornoza J. ↑,
69', Spinelli C. 🟨,
72', Corzo A. 🟨,
76', Corzo A. ↓, Dulanto G. ↑,
76', Urena R. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
79', Flores E. ↓, Rivera J. ↑,
79', Mercado P. ↓, Zabala C. ↑,
82', 1 - 0, Alcivar J. ⚽, Sornoza J. (A),
90+1', Ibarra R. 🟨,

Preview

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match Ind del Valle is indisputable favorite.

There are questionable in Ind del Valle: Mendez J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Uni de Deportes: Di Benedetto M. (Injury) Perez M. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ind del Valle won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:3 (average 3:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Ind del Valle won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
05.04.25	Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Cuenca	4:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
01.04.25	Barcelona Guayaquil - Independiente del Valle	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
28.03.25	SD Aucas - Independiente del Valle	1:2 ✺
16.03.25	Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Macará	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Barcelona Guayaquil - Independiente del Valle	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWTW
- Universitario de Deportes
Peruvian Liga 1
05.04.25	Alianza Lima - Universitario de Deportes	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
02.04.25	Universitario de Deportes - River Plate	0:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
28.03.25	Universitario de Deportes - Sport Huancayo	3:1 ✺
09.03.25	Sport Boys - Universitario de Deportes	0:2 ✺
02.03.25	Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
18.05.21	Universitario de Deportes - Independiente del Valle	3:2
05.05.21	Independiente del Valle - Universitario de Deportes	4:0

Upcoming Matches