The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universitario de Deportes 51.5%
Draw 29.8%
FBC Melgar 18.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.5%
30.3%
18.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
29.7%
17.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Universitario de Deportes have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
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2
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Universitario de Deportes - FBC Melgar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 2nd and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Deportes won 3.
Uni de Deportes has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Melgar have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this matchup, Uni de Deportes is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Uni de Deportes has recorded 9 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:24 (averaging 1.4:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Uni de Deportes against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 15:8 goals (averaging 1.7:0.9 per game).
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