Match Info

Date: 3 October 2020, Saturday


	Eskilsminne		Värnamo

	1	X	2
	6	5	1.4
	6	4.4	1.4
	6	4.3	1.43
	5.6	4.5	1.41
	6.68	4.49	1.41
	7	4.33	1.4
	6.05	4.8	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.19 ↑ (6.03)	4.55 ↑ (4.39)	1.41 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eskilsminne
14.8%

Draw
20.1%

Värnamo
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15%

20.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.6%

17.3%

76.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eskilsminne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Värnamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eskilsminne than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Värnamo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Eskilsminne - Värnamo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion to Superettan).

Recent matches Eskilsminne is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Värnamo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Värnamo is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Eskilsminne won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Eskilsminne won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eskilsminne IF
Swedish Division 1 Södra
27.09.20	Oskarshamn - Eskilsminne	4:0 ✺
23.09.20	Eskilsminne - Karlskrona	3:1 ✺
19.09.20	Eskilsminne - Lunds	1:1 ✺
12.09.20	Linköping City - Eskilsminne	1:1 ✺
06.09.20	Eskilsminne - Qviding	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWTTW
- IFK Värnamo
Swedish Division 1 Södra
27.09.20	Värnamo - Trollhättan	2:0 ✺
23.09.20	Motala - Värnamo	5:3 ✺
19.09.20	Värnamo - Skövde AIK	3:1 ✺
12.09.20	Tvååker - Värnamo	0:2 ✺
06.09.20	Värnamo - Karlskrona	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
11.07.20	Värnamo - Eskilsminne	3:0
07.07.19	Värnamo - Eskilsminne	2:2
08.06.19	Eskilsminne - Värnamo	1:2

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