Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 17

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday


	Espanyol		Alcorcón

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.33	7.5	Watch
	1.43	4.1	6.5
	1.45	4.2	7	Watch
	1.46	4.63	7.9
	1.45	4.64	7.9
	1.44	4.4	7.1	Watch
	1.44	4.3	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.49)	4.37 ↑ (4.15)	7.27 ↑ (6.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espanyol
65.4%

Draw
21.6%

Alcorcón
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

22.6%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

22%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espanyol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	11.8%	11.8%

Espanyol - Alcorcón Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Espanyol will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Alcorcón will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Espanyol: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Pacheco F. (G) 31. El Hilali O. 5. Calero F. 6. Cabrera L. 14. Olivan B. 17. Jofre 15. Gragera J. 18. Aguado A. 20. Exposito 22. Braithwaite M. 11. Milla P.	1. Ruiz J. (G) 20. Lopez I. 2. Castro J. 4. Rivas Viondi O. 19. Quintilla X. 9. Borrego C. 18. Eteki Y. 5. Mosquera P. 26. Addai E. 11. Sousa D. 15. Lara J.
Substitutes
9. Balde K. 8. Bare K. 33. Fortuno A. (G) 1. Garcia J. (G) 2. Gil O. 3. Gomez S. 36. Jose Luis Catala Vazquez 10. Lozano P. 7. Puado J. 12. Ramon 34. Sadik O. 19. Sanchez S.	13. Anacker L. (G) 22. Artola J. 7. Bustos A. 29. Callis E. 23. Chema 30. Garcia I. 17. Garcia V. 3. Morillas D. 21. Obieta K. 16. Perez J.
Coaches
Ramis L. M.	Fernandez F.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Espanyol won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Espanyol is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Espanyol won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Espanyol won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Espanyol
Spanish LaLiga2
18.11.23	Espanyol - Elche	2:0 ✺
12.11.23	Huesca - Espanyol	1:1 ✺
03.11.23	Espanyol - Eibar	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.23	Mensajero - Espanyol	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
28.10.23	Sporting de Gijón - Espanyol	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WTTWL
- AD Alcorcón
Spanish LaLiga2
18.11.23	Alcorcón - Sporting de Gijón	0:0 ✺
12.11.23	Burgos - Alcorcón	4:2 ✺
05.11.23	Alcorcón - Racing Santander	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Navalcarnero - Alcorcón	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
29.10.23	Real Oviedo - Alcorcón	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
30.05.21	Alcorcón - Espanyol	1:0
10.10.20	Espanyol - Alcorcón	1:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
22.12.16	Espanyol - Alcorcón	1:2 penalties
29.11.16	Alcorcón - Espanyol	1:1
15.01.14	Espanyol - Alcorcón	4:2
08.01.14	Alcorcón - Espanyol	1:0

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