Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 31 October 2023, Tuesday


	Mensajero		Espanyol

	1	X	2
	11	6	1.25	Watch
	11	6.25	1.21
	13	6	1.2	Watch
	13.59	5.85	1.17
	15	6.5	1.2	Watch
	13.25	6.25	1.21	Watch
	11	5.8	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.55 ↑ (5.74)	6.09 ↑ (3.7)	1.21 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mensajero
7.4%

Draw
15.3%

Espanyol
77.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.5%

25.5%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.2%

26%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mensajero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mensajero's form might have worsened.

Espanyol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Espanyol's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mensajero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (-18.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Espanyol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Mensajero - Espanyol Predictions

Users Predictions: Espanyol will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Padilla Hernandez A. (G) 3. Velasquez J. D. M. 20. Toboso C. 4. Jorge Gonzalez J. 5. Gonzalez O. 14. Misffut J. 6. Maxi 8. Arteaga Garcia R. 16. Ale Gonzalez 10. de Salles Oliveira E. 22. Lasme T.	1. Garcia J. (G) 32. Jurado M. 5. Calero F. 6. Cabrera L. 12. Ramon 19. Sanchez S. 20. Exposito 8. Bare K. 16. Lazo J. 34. Sadik O. 9. Balde K.
Substitutes
21. Diallo M. 18. Espinosa P. 24. Leon V. 1. Martinez J. (G) 9. Martin Gonzalez B. 17. Morillo P. 7. Nieto V. 11. Pirri 19. Ramos S.	18. Aguado A. 35. Cea A. 33. Fortuno A. (G) 15. Gragera J. 17. Jofre 27. Martinez R. 11. Milla P. 26. Puig J.

Preview

Mensajero is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Espanyol is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Espanyol is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mensajero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.10.23	Illescas - Mensajero	3:1 ✺
22.10.23	Mensajero - Atlético Paso	0:2 ✺
15.10.23	Llerenense - Mensajero	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	Mensajero - Montijo	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Mensajero	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLTT
- RCD Espanyol
Spanish LaLiga2
28.10.23	Sporting de Gijón - Espanyol	2:0 ✺
20.10.23	Espanyol - Leganés	0:1 ✺
14.10.23	Espanyol - Valladolid	2:0 ✺
09.10.23	Villarreal B - Espanyol	3:1 ✺
05.10.23	Cartagena - Espanyol	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLW

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