Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 14

Date: 3 November 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV
Belgium	Eleven Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Cyprus	PrimeTel
Greece	Nova Sports
Portugal	Eleven Sports 4
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Espanyol		Eibar

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.9
	2.35	3.25	2.95	Watch
	2.46	3.31	3.16
	2.44	3.31	3.16
	2	3.3	3.5
	2.35	3.22	3.08	Watch
	2.37	3.15	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.02)	3.23 ↓ (3.4)	3.11 ↓ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espanyol
40.4%

Draw
29.2%

Eibar
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

27.7%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

29.3%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espanyol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Espanyol's form might have worsened.

Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Espanyol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Eibar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.1%	11.1%	27.8%

Espanyol - Eibar Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Espanyol will win (votes: 22 - 61.1%). Eibar will win (votes: 10 - 27.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Espanyol: 45.2% – 77%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Pacheco F. (G) 17. Jofre 3. Gomez S. 4. Ruiz V. 14. Olivan B. 11. Milla P. 18. Aguado A. 15. Gragera J. 7. Puado J. 20. Exposito 22. Braithwaite M.	1. Zidane L. (G) 15. Tejero A. 5. Berrocal J. 23. Arbilla A. 21. Rios Reina J. 6. Alvarez S. 8. Pereira M. 10. Aketxe A. 30. Soriano M. 19. Stoichkov 18. Jon B.
Substitutes
9. Balde K. 6. Cabrera L. 33. Fortuno A. (G) 1. Garcia J. (G) 2. Gil O. 32. Jurado M. 16. Lazo J. 27. Martinez R. 12. Ramon 34. Sadik O. 19. Sanchez S.	17. Corpas J. 27. de la Fuente K. 2. Gutierrez C. 7. Quique 11. Rahmani Y. 22. Simic S. 31. Troncho A. 3. Venancio F. 14. Vencedor U. 13. Yoel (G) 12. Yriarte J.
Coaches
Garcia L.	Etxeberria J.

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Espanyol won 2.

Recent matches Espanyol is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Eibar is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Espanyol will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Espanyol won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Espanyol won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Espanyol
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.23	Mensajero - Espanyol	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
28.10.23	Sporting de Gijón - Espanyol	2:0 ✺
20.10.23	Espanyol - Leganés	0:1 ✺
14.10.23	Espanyol - Valladolid	2:0 ✺
09.10.23	Villarreal B - Espanyol	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLWL
- SD Eibar
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.23	Lorca Deportiva - Eibar	0:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
27.10.23	Eibar - Valladolid	5:1 ✺
21.10.23	Zaragoza - Eibar	2:3 ✺
15.10.23	Eibar - Huesca	1:1 ✺
08.10.23	Amorebieta - Eibar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
12.07.20	Espanyol - Eibar	0:2
15.09.19	Eibar - Espanyol	1:2
21.01.19	Eibar - Espanyol	3:0
25.09.18	Espanyol - Eibar	1:0
18.04.18	Espanyol - Eibar	0:1
03.12.17	Eibar - Espanyol	3:1
18.03.17	Eibar - Espanyol	1:1

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