Match Info

Date: 1 April 2021, Thursday


	Espanyol		Fuenlabrada

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.6	6	Watch
	1.65	3.3	6.25
	1.65	3.45	5.75	Watch
	1.65	3.25	6
	1.64	3.51	6.19
	1.67	3.3	6	Watch
	1.63	3.48	6.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.66)	3.41 ↓ (3.41)	6.13 ↑ (5.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espanyol
57.2%

Draw
27.5%

Fuenlabrada
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

27.5%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

16.3%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espanyol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (-23.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Espanyol that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fuenlabrada could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.6%	9%	15.4%

Espanyol - Fuenlabrada Predictions

Users Predictions: 78 users predict this event. Espanyol will win (votes: 59 - 75.6%). Fuenlabrada will win (votes: 12 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Espanyol: 66.1% – 85.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to LaLiga and 9).

Espanyol has not chance of relegated, has a small chance of prom. playoffs (11%), has a good chance of promoted (93%), has a good chance of win league (67%).

Fuenlabrada has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (9%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Espanyol is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Fuenlabrada is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Espanyol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Espanyol is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Espanyol won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Espanyol
Spanish LaLiga2
26.03.21	Castellón - Espanyol	1:3 ✺
20.03.21	Espanyol - UD Logroñés	4:0 ✺
13.03.21	Mirandés - Espanyol	2:2 ✺
05.03.21	Espanyol - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
28.02.21	Sporting de Gijón - Espanyol	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWTTT
- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish LaLiga2
29.03.21	Fuenlabrada - Mallorca	4:1 ✺
20.03.21	Leganés - Fuenlabrada	0:2 ✺
13.03.21	Fuenlabrada - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
08.03.21	Lugo - Fuenlabrada	0:0 ✺
28.02.21	Fuenlabrada - Girona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
14.11.20	Fuenlabrada - Espanyol	1:1

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