The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fuenlabrada 32.2%
Draw 31.4%
Las Palmas 36.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.8%
30.6%
38.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.3%
22.2%
53.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fuenlabrada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fuenlabrada that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+16.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Las Palmas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fuenlabrada - Las Palmas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 7).
Fuenlabrada has the most likely position - 21 (25.82%), has project points - 41, has currently - 20, has a good chance of relegated (70%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Las Palmas has the most likely position - 6 (10.93%), has project points - 63, has currently - 35, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (38%), has a chance of promoted (16%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
Fuenlabrada is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Las Palmas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Fuenlabrada won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Fuenlabrada won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.