Match Info

Ykkonen

Date: 8 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Espoonlahden urheilupuisto (Espoo)


	Espoon Palloseura		KPV Kokkola

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.2	2.25
	2.7	3.5	2.15
	3.35	3.55	1.85
	3.03	4.04	2.08
	3.38	3.76	1.9	Watch
	3.6	3.6	1.85
	3.5	3.6	1.93
	3.35	3.55	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.95)	3.6 ↓ (3.85)	1.98 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espoon Palloseura
28.5%

Draw
25.4%

KPV Kokkola
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

23.7%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

22.7%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espoon Palloseura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

KPV Kokkola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espoon Palloseura than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KPV Kokkola than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Espoon Palloseura - KPV Kokkola Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. EPS will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). KPV will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. EPS (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - EPS (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. EPS (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Lehtinen L. (G) 19. Adawi O. 7. Azhar L. 15. Blumme V. 33. Dubova K. 14. Hautakangas P. 49. Hussein A. (C) 38. Ojakangas E. 9. Pitkanen A. 5. Saynio E. 8. Tella A.	1. Raniowski M. (G) 10. Adarkwa J. 8. Adebanjo J. O. 11. Atakayi S. 19. Chipesse A. 2. Kepot D. 30. Lansipaa O. 23. Moilanen J. 17. Nuorela L. 18. Petrishin J. 9. Wegye W. (C)
Substitutes
80. Aaltonen A. 17. Ahmed M. 10. Ambasciano M. 1. Brusiin O. (G) 98. Kiiski V. 20. Kuittinen V. 18. Ruusu A. 28. Sheikhani B. 2. Tashevci E.	7. Cardoso R. 24. Koivisto W. 28. Nyman L. 25. Tynjala O. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Azhar L. 🟨,
36', Nuorela L. 🟨,
44', Adebanjo J. O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Moilanen J. ↓, Nyman L. ↑,
58', Adarkwa J. ↓, Cardoso R. ↑,
62', Azhar L. ↓, Ruusu A. ↑,
62', Hautakangas P. ↓, Aaltonen A. ↑,
66', Ojakangas E. ↓, Ahmed M. ↑,
79', Pitkanen A. ↓, Kiiski V. ↑,
79', Tella A. ↓, Ambasciano M. ↑,
79', Saynio E. 🟨,
82', 1 - 0, Blumme V. ⚽,
87', Ruusu A. 🟨,
90', Nuorela L. 🟥,
90+1', 🟨,
90+3', Kiiski V. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group: )).

Recent form of EPS has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

KPV's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

EPS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

KPV could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, EPS won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, EPS won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Espoon Palloseura
Finnish Ykkonen
01.06.25	RoPS - Espoon Palloseura	2:0 ✺
24.05.25	Espoon Palloseura - JJK Jyväskylä	2:1 ✺
15.05.25	Tampere United - Espoon Palloseura	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Espoon Palloseura - Inter Turku II	3:5 ✺
03.05.25	OLS - Espoon Palloseura	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLL
- KPV Kokkola
Finnish Ykkonen
01.06.25	KPV Kokkola - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:4 ✺
Finnish Cup
28.05.25	KPV Kokkola - KTP Kotka	2:0 ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
24.05.25	RoPS - KPV Kokkola	2:2 ✺
17.05.25	KPV Kokkola - Atlantis Helsinki	3:0 ✺
11.05.25	JJK Jyväskylä - KPV Kokkola	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
31.08.24	KPV Kokkola - Espoon Palloseura	1:0
13.06.24	Espoon Palloseura - KPV Kokkola	1:1

Espoon Palloseura - KPV Kokkola: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide