Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 5

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Estepona		Real Jaén

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.4
	2.05	2.92	3.6
	2.13	2.97	3.81
	2.07	3.02	3.75
	2.05	2.98	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.25)	2.98 ↓ (3.05)	3.6 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Estepona
44.2%

Draw
30.6%

Real Jaén
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

31.3%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estepona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Real Jaén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Estepona - Real Jaén Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 1 - 0, Castedo J. ⚽,
54', 1 - 1, Garcia P. ⚽,
73', 1 - 2, M. Lopez ⚽,

Preview

Estepona is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Jaén has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Estepona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Estepona might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Estepona won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Estepona won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.09.25	Xerez CD - Estepona	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Estepona - Recreativo Huelva	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Minera - Estepona	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Estepona - Linares Deportivo	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
24.08.25	Estepona - Melilla	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLTL
- Real Jaén
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.09.25	Real Jaén - Xerez Deportivo	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Antoniano - Real Jaén	2:3 ✺
14.09.25	Real Jaén - CD Extremadura	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.25	Quintanar del Rey - Real Jaén	2:0 ✺
08.08.25	Socuéllamos - Real Jaén	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
06.06.21	Estepona - Real Jaén	0:1
01.05.21	Real Jaén - Estepona	1:0

Upcoming Matches