Match Info

Date: 18 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Estádio José Gomes (Amadora)

Referee: Rodrigues A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Estrela da Amadora		Leixões

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	3.1
	2.3	2.9	2.95
	2.4	2.8	3.1
	2.36	3	3.1
	2.53	2.99	3.29
	2.35	2.8	3.1
	2.36	2.96	3.08
	2.38	3.05	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.45)	2.93 ↓ (3)	3.11 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrela da Amadora
38.8%

Draw
31.5%

Leixões
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

30.2%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

32.2%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	60%	10%

Estrela da Amadora - Leixões Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Estrela will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Leixões will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 8).

Estrela is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Leixões is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Estrela could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Estrela will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Estrela won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Estrela won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrela da Amadora
Portuguese Liga 2
12.09.22	Estrela da Amadora - Académico de Viseu	2:1 ✺
05.09.22	Tondela - Estrela da Amadora	1:1 ✺
28.08.22	Estrela da Amadora - Porto B	1:1 ✺
17.08.22	Benfica B - Estrela da Amadora	1:2 ✺
13.08.22	Estrela da Amadora - Farense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WTTWT
- Leixões SC
Portuguese Liga 2
11.09.22	Leixões - Farense	0:1 ✺
03.09.22	Benfica B - Leixões	2:1 ✺
28.08.22	Leixões - Nacional	3:0 ✺
21.08.22	Feirense - Leixões	1:1 ✺
15.08.22	Leixões - Trofense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
27.02.22	Leixões - Estrela da Amadora	3:0
02.10.21	Estrela da Amadora - Leixões	1:0

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