Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 20

Date: 28 February 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estádio do Mar (Matosinhos)

Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Leixões		Nacional

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.2	2.3
	2.8	3.1	2.3	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.4	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.38
	2.95	3.33	2.54
	2.8	3.2	2.25
	2.88	3.26	2.43	Watch
	2.85	3.2	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (3)	3.22 ↓ (3.23)	2.36 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leixões
32.2%

Draw
28.7%

Nacional
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

29.4%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

31.5%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leixões has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.2%	15.5%	79.3%

Leixões - Nacional Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Leixões will win (votes: 3 - 5.2%). Nacional will win (votes: 46 - 79.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 15.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 68.9% – 89.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Stefanovic I. (C) 4. Leo Bolgado 43. Danrlei 92. Rafael 70. Oliveira J. 6. Paulinho 13. Zagbayou H. 27. Fabinho 15. Simaozinho 84. Adriano Amorim 9. Joao Marcos	37. Lucas Franca (G) 2. Aurelio J. (C) 4. Paulo Vitor 40. Ulisses 5. Jose Gomes 8. Danilovic V. 28. Carlos Daniel 11. Witi 10. Esteves L. 77. Gustavo 9. Ramirez J.
Substitutes
88. Agostinho 7. Conceicao M. 19. Marufdeen M. 77. Paulinho 10. Paulite 87. Ribeiro R. (G) 85. Teixeira R. 11. Ventura B.	71. Diga 99. Dudu 1. Encarnacao R. (G) 20. Jota Garces 7. Macedo R. 21. Marakis S. 3. Pola J. 18. Sousa A. 55. Sousa A.
Coaches
Fangueiro C.	Margarido T.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leixões won 2.

Leixões is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Nacional is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Leixões won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Leixões won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leixões SC
Portuguese Liga 2
24.02.24	Porto B - Leixões	0:2 ✺
16.02.24	Leixões - Paços de Ferreira	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Benfica B - Leixões	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Santa Clara - Leixões	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Leixões - Penafiel	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTTLL
- Atletico Nacional
Portuguese Liga 2
24.02.24	Nacional - Penafiel	3:2 ✺
18.02.24	Feirense - Nacional	2:1 ✺
10.02.24	Nacional - Vilaverdense	3:2 ✺
28.01.24	Nacional - Torreense	2:1 ✺
21.01.24	Marítimo - Nacional	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
28.08.23	Nacional - Leixões	3:1
19.02.23	Nacional - Leixões	1:2
28.08.22	Leixões - Nacional	3:0
30.04.22	Leixões - Nacional	0:1
18.12.21	Nacional - Leixões	2:0
Taça de Portugal
23.12.20	Nacional - Leixões	3:1
Portuguese Liga 2
02.02.20	Nacional - Leixões	1:0

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