Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 25

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio José Gomes (Amadora)

Referee: Lima F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Estrela da Amadora		Torreense

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	3.8
	1.88	3.2	3.7
	1.95	3.1	3.75
	1.98	3.3	3.45
	1.95	3.42	4.33
	1.91	3	3.9
	1.89	3.38	4
	1.91	3.35	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.85)	3.26 ↓ (3.35)	3.83 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrela da Amadora
47.9%

Draw
28.2%

Torreense
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

26.9%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

26%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Torreense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	7.1%	7.1%

Estrela da Amadora - Torreense Predictions

Users Predictions: Estrela da Amadora will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 7).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Estrela will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Estrela won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Estrela won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrela da Amadora
Portuguese Liga 2
12.03.23	Leixões - Estrela da Amadora	1:1 ✺
05.03.23	Académico de Viseu - Estrela da Amadora	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Estrela da Amadora - Tondela	0:0 ✺
18.02.23	Porto B - Estrela da Amadora	1:2 ✺
11.02.23	Estrela da Amadora - Benfica B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TTTWW
- SCU Torreense
Portuguese Liga 2
11.03.23	Torreense - Porto B	3:0 ✺
04.03.23	Tondela - Torreense	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Torreense - Académico de Viseu	1:2 ✺
19.02.23	Benfica B - Torreense	1:2 ✺
10.02.23	Torreense - Moreirense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
08.10.22	Torreense - Estrela da Amadora	1:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.05.21	Estrela da Amadora - Torreense	0:0
02.05.21	Torreense - Estrela da Amadora	0:3

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