The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Estrela da Amadora 30.3%
Draw 30.8%
Vitoria Guimarães 39%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.8%
28.2%
45%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.8%
28.2%
45%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitoria Guimarães might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitoria Guimarães could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30%
10%
60%
Estrela da Amadora - Vitoria Guimarães Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Estrela will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Guimarães will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 29.6% – 90.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vitoria Guimarães will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
40. Ribeiro R. (G) 14. Bernardo Schappo 30. Luan Patrick 79. Chernev A. 17. Encada J. 19. Moreira P. 8. Robinho 55. Cabral S. 98. Kikas (C) 9. Rodrigo Pinho 99. Marcus A.
25. Castillo J. (G) 2. Maga 4. Rivas Viondi O. 26. Abascal R. 13. Mendes J. II. 30. Nogueira G. 16. Beni 18. Arcanjo T. 88. Nogueira M. 11. Gustavo 7. Oliveira N. (C)
Substitutes
90. Antonetti L. 5. Drame I. 89. Gastao J. 13. Godoy A. 18. Meireles J. 1. Pinto D. (G) 66. Ryan Carlos 63. Sola A. 10. Stoica I.
22. Blanco F. 27. Charles Silva (G) 17. Lebedenko O. 6. Mitrovic M. 90. Ndoye A. 3. Nobrega M. 80. Rocha R. 77. Santos N. 48. Saviolo N.
Coaches
Silva L.
Pinto L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Oliveira N. ⚽, Abascal R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rodrigo Pinho ↓, Stoica I. ↑,
53', Nogueira G. ↓, Mitrovic M. ↑,
64', Oliveira N. ↓, Saviolo N. ↑,
71', Encada J. 🟨,
74', Bernardo Schappo ↓, Meireles J. ↑,
75', Arcanjo T. ↓, Ndoye A. ↑,
75', Nogueira M. ↓, Santos N. ↑,
81', Kikas ↓, Gastao J. ↑,
81', Robinho ↓, Godoy A. ↑,
86', Stoica I. 🟨,
90', 0 - 2, Ndoye A. ⚽, Saviolo N. (A),
90+2', Marcus A. ↓, Antonetti L. ↑,
Preview
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Estrela may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Guimarães: Samu
(Leg Injury)
There are questionable in Estrela: Kikas
(Inactive)
Montoia G.
(Injury)
Ngom O.
(Inactive)
Nilton
(Foot Injury)
Rodrigo Pinho
(Inactive)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Estrela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.5:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Estrela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Finland
Portugal
Ukraine
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Ribeiro R. (G) 
Chernev A. 
Encada J. 
Moreira P. 
Cabral S. 
Marcus A. 
Castillo J. (G) 
Rivas Viondi O. 
Abascal R. 
Beni 
Antonetti L. 
Drame I. 
Stoica I. 
Lebedenko O. 
Mitrovic M. 
Ndoye A. 
Saviolo N. 
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