Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 3

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: Estádio José Gomes (Amadora)

Referee: Baixinho R. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra, Ring
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Portugal	Sport TV1
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3


	Estrela da Amadora		Alverca

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	3.1	Watch
	1.93	3.3	4
	2.48	3.05	2.98	Watch
	2.52	3.09	3.19
	2.78	2.55	3.21	Watch
	1.95	3.1	4
	2.5	3.07	3.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.05)	3.02 ↓ (3.25)	3.39 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrela da Amadora
40.2%

Draw
31.6%

Alverca
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

29.1%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estrela da Amadora's form might have worsened.

Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	11.8%	76.5%

Estrela da Amadora - Alverca Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Estrela will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Alverca will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alverca: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Alverca (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Alverca (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alverca will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Alverca (votes: 8 - 80%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Ribeiro R. (G) 14. Bernardo Schappo 30. Luan Patrick 79. Chernev A. 55. Cabral S. 19. Moreira P. 99. Marcus A. 11. Jovane (C) 7. Fabio Ronaldo 89. Gastao J. 10. Stoica I.	13. Gomes A. (G) 4. Naves 5. Gomez S. (C) 33. Meupiyou B. 2. Touaizi N. 8. Amorim 16. Mendes T. 12. James I. 11. Nuozzi C. 9. Marezi 10. Chiquinho
Substitutes
5. Drame I. 17. Encada J. 13. Godoy A. 98. Kikas 18. Meireles J. 1. Pinto D. (G) 8. Robinho 9. Rodrigo Pinho 66. Ryan Carlos	21. Abdulai S. 55. Chissumba 25. Diarra S. 22. Esteves G. 6. Gui D. 19. Leite T. 3. Martinez J. 31. Mateus Oliveira (G) 91. Sandro Lima
Coaches
Silva L.	Custodio

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
16', Gastao J. 🟨,
21', Luan Patrick 🟨,
23', Naves 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Nuozzi C. ⚽, James I. (A),
44', Marezi 🟨,
45+4', 0 - 2, Marezi ⚽,
45+7', 1 - 2, Fabio Ronaldo ⚽, Gastao J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Stoica I. ↓, Kikas ↑,
46', Gastao J. ↓, Godoy A. ↑,
47', Moreira P. 🟥,
54', Fabio Ronaldo ↓, Ryan Carlos ↑,
54', Luan Patrick ↓, Robinho ↑,
59', Kikas (Pen),
62', Naves 🟨,
63', 2 - 2, Cabral S. ⚽,
65', Nuozzi C. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
67', Gomez S. 🟨,
68', Chiquinho 🟨,
75', Robinho 🟨,
78', Marcus A. ↓, Rodrigo Pinho ↑,
80', Mendes T. ↓, Gui D. ↑,
81', Marezi ↓, Leite T. ↑,
86', Cabral S. 🟨,
89', Chiquinho ↓, Diarra S. ↑,
89', James I. ↓, Chissumba ↑,

Preview

Alverca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Estrela could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Estrela: Ngom O. (Inactive)

There will not play in Alverca: Matheus Mendes (Inactive)

There are questionable in Estrela: Montoia G. (Injury) Robinho (Injury)

There are questionable in Alverca: Chissumba (Inactive)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrela da Amadora
Liga Portugal
16.08.25	Estrela da Amadora - Benfica	0:1 ✺
11.08.25	Estoril Praia - Estrela da Amadora	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.25	Farense - Estrela da Amadora	1:0 ✺
29.07.25	Estrela da Amadora - Belenenses	1:2 penalties ✺
Liga Portugal
17.05.25	Estoril Praia - Estrela da Amadora	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTLLL
- FC Alverca
Liga Portugal
17.08.25	Alverca - Braga	0:3 ✺
10.08.25	Moreirense - Alverca	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.25	Alverca - Amora	2:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
16.05.25	Alverca - Portimonense	2:1 ✺
11.05.25	Tondela - Alverca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLWWW

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