Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 1

Date: 11 August 2025, Monday

Location: Estádio António Coimbra da Mota (Estoril)

Referee: Rodrigues A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Portugal	Sport TV2


	Estoril Praia		Estrela da Amadora

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	4.5	Watch
	1.88	3.4	4
	1.85	3.35	4.25	Watch
	1.88	3.48	4.62
	1.68	3.13	6.72	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.8	Watch
	1.91	3.45	4.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.91)	3.36 ↓ (3.48)	4.59 ↑ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estoril Praia
51.1%

Draw
28.2%

Estrela da Amadora
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

27.3%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.4%	5.7%	2.9%

Estoril Praia - Estrela da Amadora Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH 0 - Estrela (3.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Estoril (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Estoril (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Estoril Praia will win (31 of 34 users predict this - 91.18%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.65% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Estoril Praia will win (18 of 18 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Estoril (votes: 20 - 95.2%). Estrela (votes: 1 - 4.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Robles J. (G) 44. Boma K. 25. Bacher F. 24. Amaral P. 22. Carvalho P. 10. Holsgrove J. 7. Lominadze N. 55. Parente T. 99. Guitane R. 14. Begraoui Y. 12. Carvalho J. (C)	40. Ribeiro R. (G) 14. Bernardo Schappo 79. Chernev A. 30. Luan Patrick 55. Cabral S. 19. Moreira P. 8. Robinho 25. Nilton 11. Jovane (C) 13. Godoy A. 89. Gastao J.
Substitutes
57. Bimai L. 5. Brasido D. 90. Brito T. 17. Garcia F. 19. Lacximicant A. 9. Marques A. 45. Patrick de Paula 21. Pizzi 16. Turk M. (G)	98. Kikas 99. Marcus A. 21. Montoia G. 1. Pinto D. (G) 26. Resende J. 9. Rodrigo Pinho 4. Semeu 63. Sola A. 10. Stoica I.
Coaches
Cathro I.	Silva L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Lominadze N. 🟨,
27', Boma K. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Parente T. ⚽,
45+5', Holsgrove J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lominadze N. ↓, Patrick de Paula ↑,
46', Robinho ↓, Marcus A. ↑,
49', Patrick de Paula 🟨,
58', Gastao J. ↓, Kikas ↑,
58', Nilton ↓, Montoia G. ↑,
64', Begraoui Y. ↓, Lacximicant A. ↑,
64', Guitane R. ↓, Pizzi ↑,
74', Montoia G. ↓, Rodrigo Pinho ↑,
74', Godoy A. ↓, Stoica I. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Stoica I. ⚽, Rodrigo Pinho (A),
79', Holsgrove J. ↓, Marques A. ↑,
84', Carvalho P. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
88', Carvalho J. ↓, Brito T. ↑,
90', Jovane ↓, Resende J. ↑,
90+6', Bernardo Schappo 🟨,

Preview

In this match, Estoril is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Estoril: Xeka (Injury)

There will not play in Estrela: Cissokho T. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Estoril: Jandro (Inactive)

There are questionable in Estrela: Ndiaye A. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Estoril won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estoril Praia
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Estoril Praia - Millwall	0:3 ✺
30.07.25	Estoril Praia - Nottingham Forest	0:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
17.05.25	Estoril Praia - Estrela da Amadora	4:0 ✺
11.05.25	Moreirense - Estoril Praia	2:2 ✺
03.05.25	Estoril Praia - Benfica	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTWTL
- Estrela da Amadora
Club Friendly
03.08.25	Farense - Estrela da Amadora	1:0 ✺
29.07.25	Estrela da Amadora - Belenenses	1:2 penalties ✺
Liga Portugal
17.05.25	Estoril Praia - Estrela da Amadora	4:0 ✺
11.05.25	Estrela da Amadora - AVS	0:1 ✺
05.05.25	Rio Ave - Estrela da Amadora	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
17.05.25	Estoril Praia - Estrela da Amadora	4:0
05.01.25	Estrela da Amadora - Estoril Praia	2:4
04.02.24	Estoril Praia - Estrela da Amadora	1:0
25.08.23	Estrela da Amadora - Estoril Praia	2:1

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