Match Info

Liga Revelacao U23 - Losers stage - Round 14

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday


	Estrela da Amadora U23		Rio Ave U23

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.35	2.68
	2.4	3.4	2.82
	2.38	3.38	2.82	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.7
	2.33	3.2	2.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.12)	3.29 ↓ (3.56)	2.74 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrela da Amadora U23
39%

Draw
27.8%

Rio Ave U23
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

26.2%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

27.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrela da Amadora U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Rio Ave U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora U23 than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estrela da Amadora U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave U23 than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Estrela da Amadora U23 - Rio Ave U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Estrela U23 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Rio Ave U23 is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Rio Ave U23 has had a series of home games.

Estrela U23 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Estrela U23 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Rio Ave U23	7	3	3	1	8:5	3	12
18	Estrela U23	7	1	2	4	6:13	-7	5

Last Results with these Odds

Estrela da Amadora U23 - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.91%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrela da Amadora U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
18.03.26	Vizela U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	1:1 ✺
09.03.26	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Leiria U23	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Portimonense U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	0:0 ✺
24.02.26	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Estoril U23	0:0 ✺
19.02.26	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Maritimo U23	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLTTL
- Rio Ave U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
18.03.26	Rio Ave U23 - Gil Vicente U23	3:2 ✺
10.03.26	Farense U23 - Rio Ave U23	0:1 ✺
24.02.26	Rio Ave U23 - Vizela U23	3:2 ✺
19.02.26	Rio Ave U23 - Leiria U23	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Rio Ave U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
11.02.26	Rio Ave U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	2:1

Estrela da Amadora U23 - Rio Ave U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide