Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 2 August 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata)

Referee: Rojas A. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Brazil	ESPN


	Estudiantes La Plata		Goiás

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	9	Watch
	1.44	3.9	8.25
	1.47	3.9	7.5
	1.44	3.82	10.41
	1.4	3.6	9
	1.45	3.98	8.6	Watch
	1.45	4	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.58)	3.89 ↑ (3.8)	8.74 ↑ (5.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes La Plata
65.1%

Draw
24.2%

Goiás
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

24.4%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

23.9%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estudiantes La Plata's performance.

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Goiás might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estudiantes La Plata that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Goiás could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	7.1%	14.3%

Estudiantes La Plata - Goiás Predictions

Users Predictions: Estudiantes La Plata will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Andujar M. (C) 29. Godoy L. 4. Nunez S. 26. Lollo L. 13. Benedetti G. 8. Zuqui F. 30. Rodriguez J. 5. Ascacibar S. 15. Zapiola F. 10. Rollheiser B. 16. Mendez M.	23. Tadeu (C) 13. Bruno Santos 3. Lucas Halter 19. Bruno Melo 66. Hugo 12. Willian Oliveira 37. Meritao H. 18. Allano 8. Luis Oyama 41. Anderson Oliveira 77. Joao Magno
Substitutes
40. Atum A. 9. Carrillo G. 35. Fernandez N. 20. Godoy M. 18. Guasone J. 1. Iacovich F. (G) 14. Mancuso E. 3. Mas E. 49. Moreno M. 28. Palavecino A. 22. Palavecino N. 11. Veron D.	27. Alesson 22. Apodi 11. Diego Goncalves 43. Edu 40. Everton Morelli 29. Ezequiel Oliveira 60. Guilherme 88. Marcelo Rangel (G) 4. Sidimar 7. Vinicius
Coaches
Dominguez E.	Evangelista A.

Preview

1st leg.

Estudiantes is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Goiás is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Goiás could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Estudiantes is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Estudiantes to win the game is with odds 1.5.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.07.23	Argentinos Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata	2:3 ✺
Copa Argentina
25.07.23	All Boys - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.07.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Belgrano	4:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
18.07.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Barcelona Guayaquil	4:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.07.23	River Plate - Estudiantes La Plata	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWL
- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie A
30.07.23	Goiás - Grêmio	1:1 ✺
23.07.23	Cruzeiro - Goiás	0:1 ✺
17.07.23	Goiás - Atlético Mineiro	0:0 ✺
09.07.23	Santos - Goiás	4:3 ✺
03.07.23	Goiás - Coritiba	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TWTLL

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