Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE A - ROUND 15

Date: 17 July 2023, Monday

Location: Estádio da Serrinha (Goiania)

Referee: Claus R. (Bra)


	Goiás		Atlético Mineiro

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.5	1.95	Watch
	4	3.4	1.95
	4.3	3.6	1.85
	4.25	3.48	1.97
	3.9	3.1	1.85
	4.1	3.46	1.91	Watch
	3.9	3.35	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.09 ↓ (4.5)	3.41 ↑ (3.41)	1.92 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goiás
23.1%

Draw
27.7%

Atlético Mineiro
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

27.3%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

27.2%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goiás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	14.3%	57.1%

Goiás - Atlético Mineiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Goiás will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético MG: 35.9% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Tadeu (C) 2. Maguinho 3. Lucas Halter 19. Bruno Melo 6. Sander 12. Willian Oliveira 40. Everton Morelli 70. Anderson Oliveira 55. Luis Oyama 45. Joao Magno 7. Vinicius	22. Everson (G) 26. Renzo Saravia 16. Igor Rabello 34. Jemerson 13. Guilherme Arana (C) 5. Otavio 8. Edenilson 23. Franco A. 17. Igor Gomes 10. Paulinho 7. Hulk
Substitutes
27. Alesson 77. Allano 22. Apodi 13. Bruno Santos 11. Diego Goncalves 43. Edu 66. Hugo 88. Marcelo Rangel (G) 17. Matheus Peixoto 30. Matheus Santos 95. Rodrigues Adelino dos Santos V. 4. Sidimar	14. Alan Kardec 42. Cadu 11. Eduardo Vargas 1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 28. Lemos M. 31. Matheus Mendes (G) 27. Monteiro P. 49. Patrick 38. Pedrinho 4. Rever 44. Rubens 45. Santana A.
Coaches
Evangelista A.	Scolari L.

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Goiás won 2.

Recent matches Goiás is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético MG is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Atlético MG could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Goiás have a series of guest games.

In this match Atlético MG is a favorite.

There will not play in Goiás: Diego (Injury) Gabriel Novaes (Injury)

There will not play in Atlético MG: Bruno Fuchs (Injury) Hyoran (Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Goiás won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Goiás won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie A
09.07.23	Santos - Goiás	4:3 ✺
03.07.23	Goiás - Coritiba	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.06.23	Independiente Santa Fe - Goiás	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
25.06.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Goiás	2:0 ✺
22.06.23	Vasco da Gama - Goiás	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LLWLW
- Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
08.07.23	Atlético Mineiro - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
02.07.23	Atlético Mineiro - América Mineiro	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.06.23	Libertad Asuncion - Atlético Mineiro	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
24.06.23	Fortaleza - Atlético Mineiro	2:1 ✺
21.06.23	Fluminense - Atlético Mineiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
20.08.22	Atlético Mineiro - Goiás	0:1
30.04.22	Goiás - Atlético Mineiro	2:2
03.02.21	Goiás - Atlético Mineiro	1:0
10.10.20	Atlético Mineiro - Goiás	3:0
06.11.19	Atlético Mineiro - Goiás	2:0
28.07.19	Goiás - Atlético Mineiro	0:0
22.11.15	Atlético Mineiro - Goiás	2:2

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