Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 36

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Caseros (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Delbarba J. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Estudiantes de Caseros		Güemes

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.9	4.5
	1.98	2.8	4.2
	1.95	2.85	4.5
	2.02	2.82	4.93
	2	2.76	4.9	Watch
	2	2.8	4.4
	1.94	2.88	4.59
	1.95	2.85	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.19)	2.83 ↑ (2.74)	4.57 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes de Caseros
47%

Draw
32.7%

Güemes
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

33.8%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

34.1%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes de Caseros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Güemes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Estudiantes de Caseros - Güemes Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. CA Estudiantes will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Budino M. (G) 2. Ledesma D. 3. Fernandez N. 4. Del Col M. 5. Lugo M. (C) 6. Zarate N. 7. Fagundez F. 8. Brinone S. 9. Beron J. 10. Ovando L. 11. Vallejos I.	1. Pezzini N. (G) 4. Broggi C. 2. Rios R. 6. Faccioli E. 3. Berra T. 11. Garcia M. 5. Papa G. 8. Belleggia L. 7. Santa Cruz I. 9. Alvarez M. 10. Torres F.
Substitutes
12. Amade L. (G) 18. Bacas T. 17. Contreras E. 19. Gorla F. J. 20. Luna E. 14. Lusnig L. 16. Mayorga S. 13. Perales V. 15. Valenzuela I.	15. Alarcon G. 18. Brylko H. 17. Gerez M. 16. Griffa E. 13. Juarez W. 14. Lopez F. 12. Mendonca J. (G) 20. Vega C. 19. Veliz D.
Coaches
Otta W.	Vazquez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Beron J. ⚽,
26', Lugo M. 🟨,
27', Berra T. 🟨,
34', Ledesma D. 🟨,
34', Faccioli E. 🟨,
45+1', Alvarez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Santa Cruz I. ↓, Alarcon G. ↑,
46', Brinone S. ↓, Mayorga S. ↑,
46', Alvarez M. ↓, Vega C. ↑,
55', 2 - 0, Ledesma D. ⚽,
55', 🟨,
68', Berra T. ↓, Gerez M. ↑,
68', Papa G. ↓, Veliz D. ↑,
72', Fagundez F. ↓, Contreras E. ↑,
73', Broggi C. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
74', Lopez F. 🟨,
79', Beron J. ↓, Luna E. ↑,
85', Ovando L. ↓, Bacas T. ↑,
86', Vallejos I. ↓, Gorla F. J. ↑,
87', Del Col M. 🟨,
88', Mayorga S. 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 14).

Recent matches CA Estudiantes is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Güemes is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match CA Estudiantes is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches CA Estudiantes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Estudiantes de Caseros
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.10.24	Alvarado - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:1 ✺
28.09.24	Estudiantes de Caseros - Racing de Córdoba	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Patronato Parana - Estudiantes de Caseros	4:0 ✺
14.09.24	Estudiantes de Caseros - Tristán Suárez	2:2 ✺
08.09.24	All Boys - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLTT
- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.10.24	Güemes - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Quilmes - Güemes	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Güemes - San Miguel	2:0 ✺
15.09.24	Ferro Carril Oeste - Güemes	1:1 ✺
07.09.24	Güemes - Deportivo Maipú	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.05.24	Güemes - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0
13.02.22	Güemes - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1

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