Match Info

Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Mérida (Mérida) 🌤️ ...


	Estudiantes de Mérida		Metropolitanos

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.57	3.60	4.80
	1.42	4.05	6.4
	1.48	4.2	6.8
	1.46	4.03	7.7	Watch
	1.43	4.15	6.7
	1.48	4.06	6.77	Watch
	1.44	4.2	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (2.56)	4.04 ↑ (3.16)	6.54 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes de Mérida
63%

Draw
22.9%

Metropolitanos
14.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.8%

28.2%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

28.6%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes de Mérida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estudiantes de Mérida's performance.

Metropolitanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Metropolitanos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (-27.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estudiantes de Mérida that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metropolitanos than the current prediction. (+22.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metropolitanos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Estudiantes de Mérida - Metropolitanos Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Estudiantes Mérida will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Metropolitanos will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Estudiantes Mérida (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Estudiantes Mérida (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Estudiantes Mérida (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Roberts E. (G) 25. Acosta H. 44. Caicedo L. 4. Rodriguez C. 13. Maldonado M. 15. Rivas C. (C) 5. Ramirez Holguin W. S. 16. Lobo J. 14. Ivey R. 9. Hernandez J. 99. Matheus D.	25. Vazquez A. (G) 24. Jaimes A. 2. Manenti F. 6. Caricote Y. 19. Ramirez I. 8. Ayine G. (C) 5. Sangiovani R. 23. Diaz M. 30. Navarro J. 11. Ramirez S. 9. Ortiz K.
Substitutes
7. Albarran E. 77. Caicedo C. 36. Chacon R. 23. Lacruz Y. 33. Mejias Diego 11. Montero A. 31. Montes G. 24. Moreno J. 10. Pena A. 1. Rojas T. (G) 88. Sarcos G. 37. Vera L.	20. Acosta R. 29. Alcocer B. 99. Bianciotti A. 32. Camarillo C. 88. Figueroa R. 21. Garces R. 22. Lara J. (G) 16. Riasco J. 18. Vargas J.
Coaches
Gomez J.	Stifano F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Ortiz K. ⚽, Ramirez S. (A),
6', Rodriguez C. 🟨,
21', Caricote Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 1 - 1, Ivey R. ⚽, Matheus D. (A),
59', Rivas C. ↓, Pena A. ↑,
59', Navarro J. ↓, Alcocer B. ↑,
59', Ramirez S. ↓, Vargas J. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Hernandez J. ⚽,
69', Hernandez J. 🟨,
71', Ortiz K. ↓, Figueroa R. ↑,
72', Diaz M. ↓, Acosta R. ↑,
72', Sangiovani R. ↓, Riasco J. ↑,
73', Acosta R. 🟨,
77', Riasco J. 🟨,
81', Hernandez J. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
81', Matheus D. ↓, Lacruz Y. ↑,
87', Ivey R. ↓, Montes G. ↑,
87', Caicedo L. ↓, Vera L. ↑,
88', 2 - 2, Jaimes A. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes the league leaders in an exciting contest (ranked 8th in the Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular: ) and 1st in the Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes Mérida won 0.

Recent results have been tough for Estudiantes Mérida (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Metropolitanos is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Metropolitanos could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Estudiantes Mérida is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Estudiantes Mérida has recorded 8 wins, 1 draw, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:28 (averaging 1.2:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Estudiantes Mérida against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 19:11 goals (averaging 1.9:1.1 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes de Mérida
Venezuelan Primera Division
11.10.26	Monagas - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Estudiantes de Mérida - Trujillanos	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Portuguesa Acarígua - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo Táchira	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Carabobo - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTLWL
- Metropolitanos FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
10.10.26	Metropolitanos - Rayo Zuliano	4:0 ✺
20.09.26	Zamora - Metropolitanos	1:3 ✺
16.09.26	Metropolitanos - Caracas	3:0 ✺
12.09.26	Academia Anzoátegui - Metropolitanos	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Monagas - Metropolitanos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
24.05.26	Estudiantes de Mérida - Metropolitanos	0:1
08.05.26	Metropolitanos - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:0
26.04.26	Metropolitanos - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:0
12.09.25	Metropolitanos - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:0
05.04.25	Estudiantes de Mérida - Metropolitanos	1:2
Club Friendly
17.01.25	Estudiantes de Mérida - Metropolitanos	3:2
Venezuelan Primera Division
02.09.24	Estudiantes de Mérida - Metropolitanos	4:0

Estudiantes de Mérida - Metropolitanos