Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 25 May 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Mérida (Mérida)

Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports


	Estudiantes de Mérida		Palestino

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.6	1.85	Watch
	3.9	3.5	1.87
	3.7	3.75	1.89
	4.1	3.77	1.86
	3.9	3.25	1.85
	4.05	3.6	1.87	Watch
	3.75	3.5	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↑ (3.8)	3.57 ↑ (3.37)	1.87 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes de Mérida
23.7%

Draw
26.2%

Palestino
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

27.3%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes de Mérida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Estudiantes de Mérida - Palestino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Velasquez B. (G) 5. Penilla E. 4. Doldan J. 2. Labrador O. 6. Guaramato M. 9. Canelon N. 7. Flores C. 26. Paredes J. 20. Paez J. 28. Zorrilla E. 16. Arenas L.	1. Rigamonti C. (G) 3. Rojas B. 13. Suarez C. 2. Meza F. 19. Vejar B. 8. Cornejo F. 5. Farias A. 6. Meza N. 10. Davila Carvajal M. 7. Carrasco B. 14. Barticciotto B.
Substitutes
11. Castrillo R. 39. Giro G. 10. Gomez J. 3. Marquez Torres J. A. 13. Materan G. 17. Matos A. 30. Paez A. 12. Pena A. (G) 25. Ramirez Holguin W. S. 14. Rodriguez Perez A. D. 38. Uzcategui S.	27. Araya M. 11. Benitez J. 4. Ceza Gavilan A. A. 18. Collao G. (G) 26. Contreras D. (G) 34. Espinoza Hevia V. A. 24. Leon Munoz M. A. 21. Riquelme A. 17. Roman I.
Coaches
Canas A.	Sanchez P.

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Palestino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Palestino is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Estudiantes de Mérida won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes de Mérida
Venezuelan Primera Division
21.05.23	Carabobo - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:0 ✺
14.05.23	Estudiantes de Mérida - Mineros de Guayana	3:1 ✺
07.05.23	Angostura - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.05.23	Fortaleza - Estudiantes de Mérida	6:1 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
30.04.23	Estudiantes de Mérida - Portuguesa Acarígua	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWLL
- CD Palestino Santiago
Chilean Primera Division
19.05.23	Palestino - OHiggins	0:1 ✺
14.05.23	Curicó Unido - Palestino	0:1 ✺
11.05.23	Everton de Viña - Palestino	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.05.23	Palestino - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
29.04.23	Palestino - Ñublense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
18.04.23	Palestino - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:0

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