The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 19.3%
Draw 26.3%
Lokomotiv Sofia 54.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.3%
29.4%
44.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27%
28.6%
43.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo's form might have worsened.
Lokomotiv Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lokomotiv Sofia's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Sofia than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lokomotiv Sofia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.1%
9.7%
74.2%
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Lokomotiv Sofia Predictions
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Etar will win (votes: 5 - 16.1%). Lokomotiv Sofia will win (votes: 23 - 74.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lokomotiv Sofia: 58.8% โ 89.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Martinov A. (G) 77. Nikolov M. 44. Faye M. 4. Aleksandrov G. (C) 94. Tiboue J. 8. Moran M. 17. Atanasov A. 11. Angelov A. 18. Gonzalez J. 13. Lutumba-Pitah D. 9. Vasilev I.
24. Lyubenov A. (G) 93. Lambese S. 2. Cardoso G. 31. Stanoev K. 12. Bruno Franco 21. Ivanov A. 26. Miloshev K. (C) 16. Mechev S. 98. Traore S. 45. Mitkov D. 7. Mayi K.
Substitutes
20. Clifford J. 33. Cordova 14. Dimitrov I. 26. Marinov I. 19. Mishov A. 12. Sekulic K. (G) 7. Stanev K.
11. Carlos Franca 88. Istatkov Z. (G) 5. Kamy D. 9. Krastev K. 22. Naydenov I. 10. Nikolov V. 44. Orachev M. 13. Raposo C. 20. Teixeira D.
Coaches
Petrov S.
Balakov K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Gonzalez J. ⚽, Tiboue J. (A),
31', Cardoso G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mayi K. ↓, Carlos Franca ↑,
46', Angelov A. ↓, Stanev K. ↑,
49', Moran M. 🟨,
50', 1 - 1, Mitkov D. ⚽, Traore S. (A),
53', Martinov A. ↓, Sekulic K. ↑,
65', Ivanov A. ↓, Nikolov V. ↑,
70', Stanev K. 🟨,
70', Moran M. 🟨,
72', Tiboue J. ↓, Clifford J. ↑,
73', Mechev S. ↓, Krastev K. ↑,
77', Lutumba-Pitah D. ↓, Cordova ↑,
81', Carlos Franca 🟨,
81', Nikolov V. 🟨,
83', Vasilev I. 🟨,
86', Miloshev K. 🟨,
90+6', Cardoso G. 🟨,
90+8', Carlos Franca 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Etar won 2.
Etar is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Lokomotiv Sofia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Lokomotiv Sofia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Lokomotiv Sofia is a favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Etar won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Etar won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.