Match Info
Premier League - Round 20Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday
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Ethiopian Medhin |
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Adama City |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.68 |
2.72 |
2.72 |
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2.78 |
2.72 |
2.78 |
 Watch |
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2.7 |
2.86 |
2.86 |
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2.75 |
2.75 |
2.75 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73
(2.73) |
2.76 ↓
(2.83) |
2.78 ↑
(2.73) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ethiopian Medhin
33.7% | Draw
33.3% | Adama City
33.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Ethiopian Medhin have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Adama City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopian Medhin than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adama City than the current prediction. (-0.1%)Ethiopian Medhin - Adama City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 6).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ethiopian Medhin won 3.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ethiopian Medhin won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.9:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Ethiopian Medhin won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 3:1.3).
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | -1 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | -4 | 46 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Ethiopian Medhin - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 33.73%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ethiopian Premier League | | | 20.10.25 | Adama City - Ethiopian Medhin | 0:0 | | 16.04.25 | Ethiopian Medhin - Adama City | 3:1 | | 24.11.24 | Adama City - Ethiopian Medhin | 0:2 | | 23.05.24 | Ethiopian Medhin - Adama City | 4:1 | | 15.02.24 | Adama City - Ethiopian Medhin | 2:2 | | 30.06.23 | Adama City - Ethiopian Medhin | 3:0 | | 16.02.23 | Ethiopian Medhin - Adama City | 2:2 |
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