Match Info

Premier League - Round 21

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday


	Negele Arsi Ketema		Ethiopia Bunna

	1	X	2
	2.12	2.78	3.55
	2.24	2.78	3.58
	2.25	2.76	3.56	Watch
	2.15	2.63	3.5
	2.19	2.74	3.57
	1.85	3.25	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.25)	2.82 ↓ (3)	3.6 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Negele Arsi Ketema
42.6%

Draw
32.2%

Ethiopia Bunna
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

30.6%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

29.1%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Negele Arsi Ketema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Ethiopia Bunna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Negele Arsi Ketema than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopia Bunna than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Negele Arsi Ketema - Ethiopia Bunna Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Negele Arsi Ketema will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Ethiopia Bunna will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
87', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 and 15).

Negele Arsi Ketema is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ethiopia Bunna's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ethiopia Bunna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Negele Arsi Ketema could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Negele Arsi Ketema won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Ethiopia Bunna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Negele Arsi Ketema	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Negele Arsi Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
22.02.26	Arba Minch - Negele Arsi Ketema	1:1 ✺
05.02.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Mekelle 70 Enderta	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Negele Arsi Ketema	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Sidama Coffee	1:0 ✺
21.01.26	Hawassa City - Negele Arsi Ketema	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWWWL
- Ethiopia Bunna
Ethiopian Premier League
06.02.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Welayta Dicha	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Ethiopia Bunna	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0:1 ✺
22.01.26	Sidama Coffee - Ethiopia Bunna	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Hawassa City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
23.10.25	Ethiopia Bunna - Negele Arsi Ketema	2:1

Negele Arsi Ketema - Ethiopia Bunna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide