Match Info

Premier League - Round 25

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Ethiopian Medhin		Ethiopia Bunna

	1	X	2
	2.48	2.78	2.88
	2.51	2.84	2.94
	2.52	2.83	2.97	Watch
	2.45	2.63	2.9
	2.56	2.87	3.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.07)	2.79 ↓ (2.93)	2.94 ↓ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethiopian Medhin
36.4%

Draw
32.7%

Ethiopia Bunna
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

31.4%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

32.1%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopian Medhin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ethiopian Medhin's form might have worsened.

Ethiopia Bunna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ethiopia Bunna's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopian Medhin than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ethiopian Medhin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethiopia Bunna than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ethiopia Bunna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ethiopian Medhin - Ethiopia Bunna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, Getachew B. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ethiopian Medhin won 2.

Recent performances by Ethiopian Medhin have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ethiopia Bunna is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ethiopian Medhin will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ethiopian Medhin won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ethiopian Medhin won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Ethiopian Insurance	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Ethiopia Bunna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Ethiopian Medhin - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.48%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethiopian Medhin
Ethiopian Premier League
14.03.26	Arba Minch - Ethiopian Medhin	0:2 ✺
09.03.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Hadiya Hossana	1:1 ✺
03.03.26	Sheger Ketema - Ethiopian Medhin	1:1 ✺
25.02.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Saint George	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Adama City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTTWL
- Ethiopia Bunna
Ethiopian Premier League
14.03.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Adama City	3:2 ✺
08.03.26	Ethio Electric - Ethiopia Bunna	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Bahir Dar Kenema	2:0 ✺
26.02.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Ethiopia Bunna	0:1 ✺
06.02.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Welayta Dicha	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
21.11.25	Ethiopia Bunna - Ethiopian Medhin	2:3
23.05.25	Ethiopia Bunna - Ethiopian Medhin	1:0
24.01.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Ethiopia Bunna	1:0
22.06.24	Ethiopian Medhin - Ethiopia Bunna	1:2
02.02.24	Ethiopia Bunna - Ethiopian Medhin	3:0
03.06.23	Ethiopian Medhin - Ethiopia Bunna	2:1
20.12.22	Ethiopia Bunna - Ethiopian Medhin	0:1

Ethiopian Medhin - Ethiopia Bunna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide