Match Info

LUXEMBOURG: NATIONAL DIVISION - ROUND 12

Date: 13 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Stade Am Deich (Ettelbruck)


	Etzella Ettelbruck		Progrès Niedercorn

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.2	1.44
	5.6	4.3	1.43
	6.27	4.37	1.45
	5.95	4.5	1.41
	5.6	4.4	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.78 ↑ (5.4)	4.35 ↑ (4.23)	1.43 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Etzella Ettelbruck
15.7%

Draw
20.9%

Progrès Niedercorn
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.6%

21.3%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

20.2%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Etzella Ettelbruck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Progrès Niedercorn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Etzella Ettelbruck aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progrès Niedercorn than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Etzella Ettelbruck - Progrès Niedercorn Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Etzella will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Progrès Niedercorn will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Etzella won 0.

Etzella has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Progrès Niedercorn is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Etzella could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Progrès Niedercorn is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Etzella won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 8-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Etzella won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Etzella Ettelbruck
Luxembourg National Division
06.11.22	Jeunesse Esch - Etzella Ettelbruck	6:0 ✺
23.10.22	Etzella Ettelbruck - Wiltz 71	1:2 ✺
16.10.22	Victoria Rosport - Etzella Ettelbruck	3:1 ✺
09.10.22	Etzella Ettelbruck - Käerjéng 97	1:1 ✺
18.09.22	F91 Dudelange - Etzella Ettelbruck	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL
- Progrès Niedercorn
Luxembourg National Division
06.11.22	Progrès Niedercorn - Pétange	2:3 ✺
Luxembourg Cup
30.10.22	Progrès Niedercorn - Käerjéng 97	1:0 ✺
Luxembourg National Division
23.10.22	UNA Strassen - Progrès Niedercorn	0:1 ✺
16.10.22	Progrès Niedercorn - Racing Luxembourg	0:0 ✺
09.10.22	Hostert - Progrès Niedercorn	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
07.05.22	Etzella Ettelbruck - Progrès Niedercorn	1:1
04.12.21	Progrès Niedercorn - Etzella Ettelbruck	6:0
03.11.19	Etzella Ettelbruck - Progrès Niedercorn	0:4
12.08.18	Progrès Niedercorn - Etzella Ettelbruck	4:3
13.03.16	Etzella Ettelbruck - Progrès Niedercorn	0:2
27.08.15	Progrès Niedercorn - Etzella Ettelbruck	4:0
12.04.15	Progrès Niedercorn - Etzella Ettelbruck	3:0

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