Match Info

Date: 14 January 2021, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Everton		Audax Italiano

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.7	3.5	4.25
	1.67	3.6	4.25
	1.67	3.7	4.5
	1.73	4.09	4.68
	1.7	3.75	4.4
	1.74	3.85	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.8)	3.73 ↑ (3.6)	4.5 ↑ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Everton
54.6%

Draw
24.8%

Audax Italiano
20.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52%

26%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

17.1%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Everton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Audax Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton than the current prediction. (-20.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Everton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Audax Italiano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Everton - Audax Italiano Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Everton will win (votes: 32 - 66.7%). Audax Italiano will win (votes: 8 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Everton: 53.4% – 80%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Everton is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Audax Italiano is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Audax Italiano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Everton is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Everton won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Everton won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Everton
English Premier League
12.01.21	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Everton	1:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
10.01.21	Colo-Colo - Everton	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
09.01.21	Everton - Rotherham United	2:1 ET ✺
Chilean Primera Division
06.01.21	Deportes La Serena - Everton	1:1 ✺
02.01.21	Everton - Deportes Iquique	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWTW
- Audax Italiano
Chilean Primera Division
11.01.21	Audax Italiano - Huachipato	2:0 ✺
08.01.21	Cobresal - Audax Italiano	1:2 ✺
04.01.21	Audax Italiano - Unión Española	2:2 ✺
27.12.20	Audax Italiano - Universidad Católica	2:2 ✺
20.12.20	Palestino - Audax Italiano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
31.10.20	Audax Italiano - Everton	1:2
12.05.19	Everton - Audax Italiano	0:2
29.09.18	Everton - Audax Italiano	1:0
25.02.18	Audax Italiano - Everton	1:0
01.10.17	Audax Italiano - Everton	3:0
22.04.17	Everton - Audax Italiano	2:2
Chilean Cup
30.11.16	Audax Italiano - Everton	0:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Everton
English Premier League
02.11.26	Newcastle United - Everton	✺
English League Cup
29.10.26	Everton - Newcastle United	✺
- Audax Italiano
Chilean Primera Division
02.11.26	Deportes Limache - Audax Italiano	✺
28.10.26	Universidad Católica - Audax Italiano	✺

Everton - Audax Italiano