Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Molineux Stadium (Wolverhampton)

Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+


	Wolverhampton Wanderers		Everton

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.25	2.45	Watch
	2.98	3.25	2.48	Watch
	3.04	3.27	2.49
	3.28	2.76	2.52	Watch
	3.12	3.32	2.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.85)	3.17 ↓ (3.43)	2.48 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolverhampton Wanderers
31.3%

Draw
30.1%

Everton
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

27.6%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

28.9%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolverhampton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Everton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	38.9%	27.8%

Wolverhampton Wanderers - Everton Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Wolverhampton will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Everton will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.4% – 61.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Wolverhampton (votes: 4 - 50%). Everton (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Johnstone S. (G) 2. Doherty M. 4. Bueno S. 37. Krejci L. 3. Bueno H. 5. Munetsi M. 27. Bellegarde J. 7. Andre 10. Arias J. 9. Larsen J. S. 11. Hwang Hee-Chan	12. Travers M. (G) 15. O'Brien J. 6. Tarkowski J. 5. Keane M. 23. Coleman S. (C) 37. Garner J. 42. Iroegbunam T. 20. Dibling T. 24. Alcaraz C. 7. McNeil D. 11. Barry T.
Substitutes
12. Agbadou E. 14. Arokodare T. 25. Bentley D. (G) 21. Gomes R. 26. Hoever K. 8. Joao Gomes 28. Lopez F. 24. Toti 6. Wolfe D. M.	39. Aznou A. 9. Beto 22. Dewsbury-Hall K. 18. Grealish J. 27. Gueye I. 31. King T. (G) 16. Mykolenko V. 10. Ndiaye I. 2. Patterson N.
Coaches
Pereira V.	Moyes D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Munetsi M. ⚽,
33', Barry T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Barry T. ↓, Beto ↑,
46', Alcaraz C. ↓, Dewsbury-Hall K. ↑,
58', Dibling T. ↓, Ndiaye I. ↑,
59', McNeil D. ↓, Grealish J. ↑,
68', Hwang Hee-Chan ↓, Gomes R. ↑,
68', Larsen J. S. ↓, Arokodare T. ↑,
71', Bueno H. 🟨,
78', Coleman S. ↓, Mykolenko V. ↑,
81', Munetsi M. ↓, Joao Gomes ↑,
81', Arias J. ↓, Toti ↑,
87', Andre ↓, Agbadou E. ↑,
88', 2 - 0, Arokodare T. ⚽, Joao Gomes (A),
90+1', Garner J. 🟨,
90+3', Joao Gomes 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 2.

Wolverhampton is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Everton is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Everton might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Wolverhampton: Chiwome L. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Everton: Branthwaite J. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Everton: Rohl M. (Knock)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Wolverhampton won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wolverhampton Wanderers
English Premier League
20.09.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Leeds United	1:3 ✺
13.09.25	Newcastle United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Everton	2:3 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - West Ham United	3:2 ✺
English Premier League
23.08.25	Bournemouth - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL
- Everton
English Premier League
20.09.25	Liverpool - Everton	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Everton - Aston Villa	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Everton	2:3 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.25	Everton - Mansfield Town	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
24.08.25	Everton - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
30.08.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Everton	2:3
08.03.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Everton	1:1
04.12.24	Everton - Wolverhampton Wanderers	4:0
30.12.23	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Everton	3:0
26.08.23	Everton - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:1
20.05.23	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Everton	1:1
26.12.22	Everton - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:2

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