Match Info

Date: 10 December 2020, Thursday


	Everton		Curicó Unido

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2.1	2.95	3.4
	2.04	3.1	3.35
	2.14	3.15	3.35
	2.22	3.35	3.52
	2.2	3.1	3.3
	2.21	3.26	3.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.98)	3.19 ↓ (3.36)	3.39 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Everton
43.4%

Draw
29.2%

Curicó Unido
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

27.5%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

18.3%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Everton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Curicó Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Everton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Curicó Unido could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	29.2%	12.5%

Everton - Curicó Unido Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Everton will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%). Curicó Unido will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 29.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Everton: 38.6% – 78%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Everton is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Curicó Unido in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Curicó Unido could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Everton will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Everton won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Everton won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Everton
Chilean Primera Division
06.12.20	Unión La Calera - Everton	6:2 ✺
English Premier League
05.12.20	Burnley - Everton	1:1 ✺
28.11.20	Everton - Leeds United	0:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
22.11.20	Everton - Universidad de Chile	1:1 ✺
English Premier League
22.11.20	Fulham - Everton	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLTW
- Curicó Unido
Chilean Primera Division
03.12.20	Curicó Unido - Audax Italiano	4:1 ✺
25.11.20	Colo-Colo - Curicó Unido	0:2 ✺
18.11.20	Curicó Unido - Universidad de Concepción	2:2 ✺
14.11.20	Deportes Iquique - Curicó Unido	1:2 ✺
11.11.20	Curicó Unido - Universidad Católica	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
03.10.20	Curicó Unido - Everton	1:3
17.10.19	Everton - Curicó Unido	2:1
12.04.19	Curicó Unido - Everton	2:2
07.10.18	Curicó Unido - Everton	3:1
12.05.18	Everton - Curicó Unido	1:1
13.10.17	Everton - Curicó Unido	1:1
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
16.04.16	Curicó Unido - Everton	2:1

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