Match Info

Premier League - Round 23

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Hill Dickinson Stadium (Liverpool) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Hooper S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Afghanistan	00:30	Solh Sports 1
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	17:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
Belgium	21:00	Play Sports 1
Brazil	17:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	22:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
Chile	17:00	Disney+
China	04:00	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	21:00	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	21:00	See, Viaplay
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	22:00	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	21:00	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
Germany	21:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong Kong	04:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	21:00	Match 4, Net4+
Iceland	20:00	SÝN Sport Viaplay
India	01:30	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	03:00	Vidio
Ireland	20:00	NOW
Israel	22:00	Sport 1
Japan	05:00	U-NEXT
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 2
Malaysia	04:00	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Maldives	01:00	ICE Sports, Medianet
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	14:00	FOX One, Fox Sports
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	01:45	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	09:00	Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	21:00	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Pakistan	01:00	ARY ZAP
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	22:00	Voyo
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	04:00	Hub Premier 1
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ESPN 2 South
South Korea	05:00	Coupang Play
Spain	21:00	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	21:00	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	03:00	AIS PLAY
Turkey	23:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
United Kingdom	20:00	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	NBC, Peacock, SiriusXM FC, USA Network
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	FPT Play
International	20:00	Sport 24


	Everton		Leeds United

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	3
	2.4	3.2	3
	2.58	3.05	3.05
	2.57	3.15	3.21
	2.5	3.17	3.16	Watch
	2.45	3	2.9
	2.57	3.19	3.19	Watch
	2.4	3.2	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.52)	3.13 ↓ (3.32)	3.08 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Everton
38.3%

Draw
30.6%

Leeds United
31.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.1%

28.9%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

29.5%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Everton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Leeds United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Everton than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.5%	41.5%	17%

Everton - Leeds United Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Everton will win (votes: 22 - 41.5%). Leeds will win (votes: 9 - 17%). It will Tie (votes: 22 - 41.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Everton: 28.2% – 54.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Everton (votes: 7 - 35%). Leeds (votes: 2 - 10%). Tie (votes: 11 - 55%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 12 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

DNB - Everton (1.71) (votes: 2 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 6 - 66.7%) .

AH -0.25 - Everton (2.10) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Leeds (1.53) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Everton (votes: 11 - 39.3%). Leeds (votes: 6 - 21.4%). Tie (votes: 11 - 39.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pickford J. (G) 2. Patterson N. 6. Tarkowski J. (C) 15. O'Brien J. 16. Mykolenko V. 27. Gueye I. 37. Garner J. 10. Ndiaye I. 45. Armstrong H. 7. McNeil D. 11. Barry T.	26. Darlow K. (G) 23. Bornauw S. 6. Rodon J. 5. Struijk P. 2. Bogle J. 18. Stach A. 4. Ampadu E. (C) 44. Gruev I. 24. Justin J. 11. Aaronson B. 9. Calvert-Lewin D.
Substitutes
24. Alcaraz C. 39. Aznou A. 9. Beto 32. Branthwaite J. 23. Coleman S. 22. Dewsbury-Hall K. 20. Dibling T. 34. Rohl M. 12. Travers M. (G)	40. Buonanotte F. 25. Byram S. 29. Gnonto W. 8. Longstaff S. 1. Lucas Perri (G) 14. Nmecha L. 19. Okafor N. 10. Piroe J. 22. Tanaka A.
Coaches
Moyes D.	Farke D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Justin J. ⚽, Stach A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', McNeil D. ↓, Dewsbury-Hall K. ↑,
46', Armstrong H. ↓, Branthwaite J. ↑,
54', Stach A. 🟨,
56', Gruev I. 🟨,
66', Gruev I. ↓, Tanaka A. ↑,
71', Patterson N. ↓, Dibling T. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Barry T. ⚽, Gueye I. (A),
85', Stach A. ↓, Longstaff S. ↑,
85', Aaronson B. ↓, Okafor N. ↑,
85', Bornauw S. ↓, Buonanotte F. ↑,
89', Barry T. ↓, Beto ↑,
90', Buonanotte F. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Everton won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Everton: Grealish J. (Foot Injury) Iroegbunam T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Keane M. (Red Card)

There will not play in Leeds: Bijol J. (Hamstring Injury) James D. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Everton: Alcaraz C. (Injury) Branthwaite J. (Hamstring Injury) Dewsbury-Hall K. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Leeds: Gudmundsson G. (Muscle Injury) Stach A. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Everton won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Everton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Leeds	8	2	5	1	9:6	3	11
11	Everton	8	2	4	2	8:9	-1	10

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Leeds: 0.59% Everton: 0.22%

Last Results with these Odds

Everton - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 38.1%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Everton
English Premier League
18.01.26	Aston Villa - Everton	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Everton - Sunderland	1:2 penalties ✺
English Premier League
07.01.26	Everton - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Everton - Brentford	2:4 ✺
30.12.25	Nottingham Forest - Everton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLTLW
- Leeds United
English Premier League
17.01.26	Leeds United - Fulham	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
11.01.26	Derby County - Leeds United	1:3 ✺
English Premier League
07.01.26	Newcastle United - Leeds United	4:3 ✺
04.01.26	Leeds United - Manchester United	1:1 ✺
01.01.26	Liverpool - Leeds United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
18.08.25	Leeds United - Everton	1:0
18.02.23	Everton - Leeds United	1:0
30.08.22	Leeds United - Everton	1:1
12.02.22	Everton - Leeds United	3:0
21.08.21	Leeds United - Everton	2:2
03.02.21	Leeds United - Everton	1:2
28.11.20	Everton - Leeds United	0:1

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