Match Info

Premier League - Round 18

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Turf Moor (Burnley) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, Supersport Action
Argentina	12:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	19:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	02:00	Stan Sport
Austria	16:00	Sky Go Austria
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:00	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	12:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	17:00	Nova Sport
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, FuboTV
Chile	12:00	Disney+
China	23:00	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	10:00	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	16:00	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	17:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	16:00	CANAL+ Sport 6, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	16:00	Viaplay
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	17:00	Viaplay
France	16:00	Canal+ Live 7
Germany	16:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 4, WOW
Greece	17:00	Nova Sports 2
Hong Kong	23:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 5
Iceland	15:00	SÝN Sport 6
India	20:30	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	22:00	Vidio
Israel	17:00	Sport 1
Japan	00:00	U-NEXT
Kenya	18:00	Gotv
Malaysia	23:00	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 3, Canal+, Sooka
Malta	16:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	09:00	HBO Max
Mongolia	23:00	Premier Sports 4
Myanmar	21:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	20:45	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	16:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	04:00	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 7
Nigeria	16:00	SuperSport Action
Norway	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 4
Peru	10:00	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	16:00	Canal+ Extra 7
Portugal	15:00	DAZN 4, DAZN / App
Romania	17:00	Voyo
Serbia	16:00	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	23:00	Hub Premier 4
Slovakia	16:00	Voyo
South Africa	17:00	SuperSport Action
South America	—	ESPN South
South Korea	00:00	Coupang Play
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Thailand	22:00	AIS PLAY
Turkey	18:00	beIN Connect
Ukraine	17:00	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
Uruguay	12:00	Disney+
Usa	10:00	NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
Venezuela	11:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	22:00	K+
International	15:00	Sport 24 Extra


	Burnley		Everton

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.1	2.2
	3.7	3.15	2.2
	4.3	3.45	1.94
	3.64	3.19	2.18	Watch
	3.7	3	2.15
	3.88	3.17	2.18	Watch
	3.66	3.1	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↓ (4.13)	3.17 ↓ (3.43)	2.15 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burnley
25.3%

Draw
30.2%

Everton
44.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23%

27.7%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

28.1%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Everton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Everton than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	20.4%	46.3%

Burnley - Everton Predictions

Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Burnley will win (votes: 18 - 33.3%). Everton will win (votes: 25 - 46.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 20.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Everton: 33% – 59.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Burnley (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Everton (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Burnley (1.66) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Burnley (4.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Burnley (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Everton (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dubravka M. (G) 29. Laurent J. 12. Humphreys B. 18. Ekdal H. 2. Walker K. 8. Ugochukwu L. 24. Cullen J. (C) 23. Lucas Pires 10. Edwards M. 27. Broja A. 7. Bruun Larsen J.	1. Pickford J. (G) 15. O'Brien J. 6. Tarkowski J. (C) 5. Keane M. 16. Mykolenko V. 42. Iroegbunam T. 37. Garner J. 20. Dibling T. 24. Alcaraz C. 7. McNeil D. 9. Beto
Substitutes
11. Anthony J. 35. Barnes A. 19. Flemming Z. 16. Florentino 3. Hartman Q. 22. Sonne O. 17. Tchaouna L. 31. Tresor Ndayishimiye M. 13. Weiss M. (G)	39. Aznou A. 11. Barry T. 73. Campbell E. 31. King T. (G) 2. Patterson N. 34. Rohl M. 12. Travers M. (G) 64. Welch R.
Coaches
Parker S.	Moyes D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Cullen J. ↓, Florentino ↑,
68', Parker S. 🟨,
69', Alcaraz C. ↓, Rohl M. ↑,
70', Beto ↓, Barry T. ↑,
73', Bruun Larsen J. ↓, Anthony J. ↑,
80', Iroegbunam T. 🟨,
88', Edwards M. ↓, Tresor Ndayishimiye M. ↑,
88', Broja A. ↓, Flemming Z. ↑,
88', Dibling T. ↓, Patterson N. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 1.

Burnley is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Everton has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Everton is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Foster L. (International duty) Mejbri H. (Suspended) Roberts C. (Groin Injury) Tuanzebe A. (International duty)

There will not play in Everton: Branthwaite J. (Hamstring Injury) Coleman S. (Hamstring Injury) Dewsbury-Hall K. (Hamstring Injury) Gueye I. (International duty) Ndiaye I. (International duty)

There are questionable in Burnley: Esteve M. (Knock)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:30. (average 0.9:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Burnley won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.4:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burnley FC
English Premier League
20.12.25	Bournemouth - Burnley	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Burnley - Fulham	2:3 ✺
06.12.25	Newcastle United - Burnley	2:1 ✺
03.12.25	Burnley - Crystal Palace	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Brentford - Burnley	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLLLL
- Everton
English Premier League
20.12.25	Everton - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Chelsea - Everton	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Everton - Nottingham Forest	3:0 ✺
02.12.25	Bournemouth - Everton	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Everton - Newcastle United	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
06.04.24	Everton - Burnley	1:0
16.12.23	Burnley - Everton	0:2
English League Cup
01.11.23	Everton - Burnley	3:0
English Premier League
06.04.22	Burnley - Everton	3:2
13.09.21	Everton - Burnley	3:1
13.03.21	Everton - Burnley	1:2
05.12.20	Burnley - Everton	1:1

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