Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 27 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: Goodison Park (Liverpool)

Referee: Bell J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Canada	DAZN Canada
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports France 2
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	Viaplay
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 3
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Everton		Doncaster Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.2	7	11	Watch
	1.2	7.5	12.5
	1.19	7.5	15	Watch
	1.19	7.43	13.2
	1.21	6.56	11.9	Watch
	1.33	5	9
	1.19	7.5	13.5	Watch
	1.19	7.5	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.34)	7 ↑ (5.35)	12.64 ↑ (8.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Everton
78.8%

Draw
13.7%

Doncaster Rovers
7.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

17.7%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

16.2%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Everton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Everton's performance.

Doncaster Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Everton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Everton - Doncaster Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: Everton will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pickford J. (G) 23. Coleman S. (C) 5. Keane M. 15. O'Brien J. 19. Mykolenko V. 42. Iroegbunam T. 37. Garner J. 29. Lindstrom J. 10. Ndiaye I. 7. McNeil D. 14. Beto	1. Lawlor I. (G) 16. Nixon T. 5. Olowu J. 25. McGrath J. 23. Senior J. 17. Bailey O. (C) 22. Kelly P. 7. Molyneux L. 24. Westbrooke Z. 11. Gibson J. 20. Ironside J.
Substitutes
45. Armstrong H. 9. Calvert-Lewin D. 75. Dixon R. 16. Doucoure A. 27. Gueye I. 11. Harrison J. 4. Holgate M. 12. Virginia J. (G) 18. Young A.	4. Anderson T. 8. Broadbent G. 33. Close B. 21. Hurst K. 10. Sbarra J. 19. Sharman-Lowe T. (G) 14. Sharp B. 2. Sterry J. 18. Yeboah E.
Coaches
Dyche S.	McCann G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Senior J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Gibson J. ↓, Hurst K. ↑,
53', 1 - 0, Iroegbunam T. ⚽, Lindstrom J. (A),
57', Nixon T. ↓, Sterry J. ↑,
59', Iroegbunam T. 🟨,
64', Kelly P. ↓, Broadbent G. ↑,
64', Westbrooke Z. ↓, Sbarra J. ↑,
67', Lindstrom J. ↓, Harrison J. ↑,
67', Coleman S. ↓, Young A. ↑,
68', Garner J. ↓, Gueye I. ↑,
70', Young A. 🟨,
74', 2 - 0, Ndiaye I. ⚽, O'Brien J. (A),
75', Senior J. ↓, Sharp B. ↑,
79', Ndiaye I. ↓, Dixon R. ↑,
84', 3 - 0, Beto ⚽, Mykolenko V. (A),
86', Iroegbunam T. ↓, Armstrong H. ↑,

Preview

Everton is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Doncaster is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Everton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Everton is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Everton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Everton
English Premier League
24.08.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Everton	4:0 ✺
17.08.24	Everton - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Everton - Roma	1:1 ✺
03.08.24	Preston North End - Everton	0:3 ✺
30.07.24	Coventry City - Everton	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTWL
- Doncaster Rovers
English League Two
24.08.24	Doncaster Rovers - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
17.08.24	Newport County - Doncaster Rovers	3:1 ✺
English League Cup
13.08.24	Salford City - Doncaster Rovers	0:2 ✺
English League Two
10.08.24	Doncaster Rovers - Accrington Stanley	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Rotherham United - Doncaster Rovers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
30.08.23	Doncaster Rovers - Everton	1:2

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