Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 1

Date: 7 August 2026, Friday

Location: Kooi Stadion (Leeuwarden)

Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Cambuur		Excelsior

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.4	2.5	Watch
	2.55	3.50	2.65
	2.72	3.45	2.52
	2.72	3.56	2.59
	2.64	3.49	2.59	Watch
	2.8	3.5	2.4
	2.98	3.56	2.42	Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.49)	3.48 ↓ (3.63)	2.53 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cambuur
34.9%

Draw
27.4%

Excelsior
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

25.8%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambuur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.9%	31.6%	39.5%

Cambuur - Excelsior Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Cambuur will win (votes: 10 - 27%). Excelsior will win (votes: 15 - 40.5%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 32.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Excelsior: 24.7% – 56.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cambuur (votes: 1 - 25%). Excelsior (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jansen T. (G) 16. Mulders R. 4. Baouf I. 6. Amofa J. (C) 23. Jetten L. 14. van de Pavert R. 10. El Arguioui R. 8. Souren N. 29. Henstra I. 9. Vink S. 11. Hamache I.	1. van Gassel S. (G) 17. Martens N. 3. Meissen R. 14. Plug J. 15. Janssen S. 6. van Vianen D. 10. Naujoks N. (C) 20. Hartjes L. 8. Yegoian I. 19. Garden D. 11. de Regt G.
Substitutes
17. Apkakou E. 3. Berkhout J. 13. Binder N. 7. Bouhoudane S. 28. Costarelli M. 24. Kalisvaart M. (G) 15. Kvam F. 21. Meijster J. (G) 40. van der Goot W. 18. van der Heide W. 33. Vogelzang B. 48. Westerhof D.	16. Biai C. (G) 24. Cairo G. 34. El Hamdaoui N. 23. Finey Y. 28. Groen N. 5. Henderikx S. 21. Silva Timas I. 7. Sliti A. 18. Sulzbacher V. 22. Turay O. 4. Widell C.
Coaches
Plat J.	den Uil R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
17', 0 - 1, Yegoian I. ⚽, de Regt G. (A),
31', 0 - 2, Naujoks N. ⚽, Yegoian I. (A),
42', 0 - 3, Garden D. ⚽, Janssen S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', van de Pavert R. ↓, Bouhoudane S. ↑,
46', Mulders R. ↓, Costarelli M. ↑,
65', Jetten L. ↓, Apkakou E. ↑,
69', 0 - 4, Naujoks N. ⚽, Janssen S. (A),
74', Garden D. ↓, Groen N. ↑,
74', Martens N. ↓, Widell C. ↑,
75', Yegoian I. ↓, Sliti A. ↑,
81', Janssen S. ↓, Turay O. ↑,
81', Vink S. ↓, van der Goot W. ↑,
85', de Regt G. ↓, Silva Timas I. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 2.

Cambuur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Cambuur: Apkakou E. (Injury) Visser D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Excelsior: Bos K. (Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:19. (average 2.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cambuur won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 2.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15:9	6	11
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10:19	-9	5

Last Results with these Odds

Cambuur - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.7%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Excelsior - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 36.5%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeuwarden Cambuur
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Cambuur - Volos	1:2 ✺
24.07.26	Cambuur - Utrecht	1:0 ✺
10.07.26	Cambuur - Roda	2:1 ✺
04.07.26	Excelsior - Cambuur	3:2 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.04.26	Cambuur - Vitesse	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LWWLW
- Excelsior Rotterdam
Club Friendly
01.08.26	De Graafschap - Excelsior	1:5 ✺
24.07.26	Heracles Almelo - Excelsior	1:4 ✺
18.07.26	NAC Breda - Excelsior	1:3 ✺
04.07.26	Excelsior - Cambuur	3:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
17.05.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Excelsior	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
04.07.26	Excelsior - Cambuur	3:2
Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.01.25	Cambuur - Excelsior	1:0
26.10.24	Excelsior - Cambuur	0:1
Dutch Eredivisie
19.03.23	Excelsior - Cambuur	4:1
06.08.22	Cambuur - Excelsior	0:2
Dutch Eerste Divisie
05.04.21	Cambuur - Excelsior	7:2
20.12.20	Excelsior - Cambuur	0:1

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