The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Excelsior 39.9%
Draw 27.1%
Go Ahead Eagles 33%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38%
27.4%
34.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
26.1%
36.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Go Ahead Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
21.1%
57.9%
21.1%
Excelsior - Go Ahead Eagles Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Go Ahead will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 57.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.7% – 80.1%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Go Ahead (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.25 - Go Ahead (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Excelsior (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - Excelsior (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Excelsior (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Go Ahead (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. van Gassel S. (G) 2. Bronkhorst I. 4. Widell C. (C) 3. Meissen R. 12. Zagre A. 23. Yegoian I. 14. Schouten L. 20. Hartjes L. 30. Sanches Fernandes D. 10. Naujoks N. 11. de Regt G.
22. De Busser J. (G) 2. Sampsted A. 26. Dirksen J. 4. Kramer J. (C) 29. Adelgaard A. 21. Meulensteen M. 7. Breum J. 10. Tengstedt S. 17. Suray M. 18. Margaret R. 16. Edvardsen V.
Substitutes
33. Bergraaf J. 24. Cairo G. 6. Carlen A. 5. Henderikx S. 40. Holla T. (G) 15. Janssen S. 26. Jonathans M. 8. Tielemans M. 29. van Duinen M. 9. Wlodarczyk S.
5. James D. 30. Jansen S. (G) 8. Linthorst E. 1. Plogmann L. (G) 34. Salah Rahmouni Y. 9. Sigurdarson S. I. 11. Sivertsen O. 19. Slory J. 27. Stokkers F. 25. van Zwam G. 20. Waayers E.
Coaches
den Uil R.
Boel M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Dirksen J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kramer J. ↓, van Zwam G. ↑,
54', 0 - 1, Tengstedt S. ⚽, Margaret R. (A),
58', Tengstedt S. ↓, Slory J. ↑,
68', Hartjes L. ↓, Bergraaf J. ↑,
68', de Regt G. ↓, Jonathans M. ↑,
76', Margaret R. ↓, Sigurdarson S. I. ↑,
78', Zagre A. 🟨,
79', Zagre A. ↓, van Duinen M. ↑,
85', Dirksen J. ↓, James D. ↑,
86', Edvardsen V. ↓, Linthorst E. ↑,
89', Meissen R. ↓, Henderikx S. ↑,
90', Yegoian I. ↓, Wlodarczyk S. ↑,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 and 13)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 1.
Excelsior has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Go Ahead is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Go Ahead may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Go Ahead: Baeten T.
(Red Card)
Nauber G.
(Broken Leg)
Weijenberg R.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Go Ahead: Dirksen J.
(Injury)
Tengstedt S.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:27. (average 0.8:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).
Indonesia
Netherlands
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van Gassel S. (G) 
Widell C. (C) 
Zagre A. 
Yegoian I. 
De Busser J. (G) 
Sampsted A. 
Adelgaard A. 
Margaret R. 
Jonathans M. 
Wlodarczyk S. 
Plogmann L. (G) 
Sivertsen O. 
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