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Current Win Probability
HSV Hoek 35.4%
Draw 25.1%
Kozakken Boys 39.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41%
25.9%
33.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.1%
27.2%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HSV Hoek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HSV Hoek's form might have worsened.
Kozakken Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kozakken Boys's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for HSV Hoek than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HSV Hoek, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kozakken Boys than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kozakken Boys, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
HSV Hoek - Kozakken Boys Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Standaert M. (G) 2. de Poorter R. 24. Siereveld G. 4. Ketels L. 5. de Nooijer Y. 14. Van Hauter R. 18. Bouihrouchane H. 6. Van Daele C. 10. Aelterman N. 7. Hebbelinck K. 23. Boere T.
1. ten Hove R. (G) 20. den Besten D. 6. Sas T. 23. Giebels J. 17. Pedro D. 12. Stout G. 3. Hop S. 24. Damen G. 21. Deurloo Z. 9. Versluis D. 15. van den Berg M.
Substitutes
11. Bostdorp M. 22. Demuynck D. 19. Jalloh A. 3. Pengel J. 16. Steenpoorte M. 30. Van Damme S. (G)
7. Hassan M. 11. Jalloh S. 16. Koorevaar J. (G) 19. Lommers J. 14. Maletic M. 4. Martina S. 18. Taytay Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
23', den Besten D. 🟨,
33', Sas T. 🟨,
40', Stout G. 🟨,
44', Ketels L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Versluis D. ↓, Maletic M. ↑,
61', van den Berg M. ↓, Hassan M. ↑,
62', Van Daele C. ↓, Jalloh A. ↑,
62', Hebbelinck K. ↓, Bostdorp M. ↑,
62', Boere T. ↓, Demuynck D. ↑,
67', Hop S. ↓, Jalloh S. ↑,
72', den Besten D. 🟨,
73', Aelterman N. ↓, Steenpoorte M. ↑,
74', Damen G. ↓, Martina S. ↑,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 15th and 2nd).
Hoek has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Kozakken Boys is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Hoek has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:3 (averaging 2:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hoek against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.
Watch
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Standaert M. (G) 
de Poorter R. 
Siereveld G. 
Bostdorp M. 
Demuynck D. 
Hassan M. 
Maletic M. 
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