The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newport County 32.4%
Draw 28.8%
Tranmere Rovers 38.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.9%
29.4%
33.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Tranmere Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tranmere Rovers's recent form is better than expected.
Newport County - Tranmere Rovers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wright J. (G) 22. Norman C. 5. Jenkins L. 4. Cameron K. (C) 17. Merritt A. 2. Evans C. 6. Brennan C. 20. Bamba Y. 10. Biggins H. 9. Gwengwe S. 27. Doidge C.
1. McGee L. (G) 2. Senior J. 16. Faulkner B. 5. Smith N. 3. Slater J. 6. Vaulks W. (C) 11. Conlon T. 17. Okoro Z. 10. Ince T. 7. Whitaker C. 9. Ironside J.
Substitutes
24. Dibley-Dias M. 7. Evans K. 40. Jarvis C. 34. Sassi D. 8. Smith M. 12. Thomas J. 25. Turner J. (G)
13. Boyce-Clarke C. (G) 23. Brough P. 8. Finley S. 29. Jones D. 22. O'Connor L. 4. Turnbull J. 20. Veevers C.
Coaches
Mullins H.
Clarke D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Gwengwe S. ⚽, Biggins H. (A),
15', Slater J. 🟨,
43', Doidge C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Merritt A. ↓, Sassi D. ↑,
54', Doidge C. ↓, Jarvis C. ↑,
65', Slater J. ↓, Turnbull J. ↑,
66', Smith N. ↓, Jones D. ↑,
66', Conlon T. ↓, Finley S. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Okoro Z. ⚽, Senior J. (A),
71', Evans C. ↓, Dibley-Dias M. ↑,
72', Bamba Y. ↓, Evans K. ↑,
73', Ince T. 🟨,
75', 1 - 2, Jones D. ⚽,
78', Whitaker C. ↓, O'Connor L. ↑,
78', Brennan C. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
80', Okoro Z. ↓, Brough P. ↑,
84', Dibley-Dias M. 🟨,
90', 2 - 2, Gwengwe S. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 1.
Recent form of Newport has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Newport: Crole J.
(Inactive)
Evans K.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Tranmere: Jennings C.
(Knee Injury)
McGee L.
(Hip Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Newport won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.4:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Newport
10
3
4
3
13:12
1
13
13
Tranmere
10
2
6
2
13:13
0
12
Last Results with these Odds
Tranmere Rovers - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 33.7%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.