Match Info

League Two - Round 4

Date: 1 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: St James Park (Exeter)

Referee: Gill S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Exeter City		Barnet

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.40	2.20
	3.00	3.50	2.20
	3.25	3.50	1.94
	3.67	3.92	2.00
	3.31	3.68	2.02	Watch
	3.05	3.60	2.19
	3.09	3.56	2.13	Watch
	3.05	3.45	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (3.08)	3.58 ↓ (3.64)	2.11 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Exeter City
29.4%

Draw
26.2%

Barnet
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

25.3%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

25.2%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Barnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Exeter City - Barnet Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Barnet will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barnet: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Exeter (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bycroft J. (G) 2. Samuel L. 40. James E. 5. Fitzwater J. (C) 24. Harper V. 31. Doyle-Hayes J. 16. Cummins C. 11. Oluwabori A. 12. Cole R. 7. Edwards G. 10. Gordon J.	13. Cox M. (G) 5. Senior A. 4. Collinge D. (C) 6. Williams Z. 30. Kenlock M. 23. Reeves J. 22. Gallagher O. 8. Lakin C. 14. Comley B. 11. Kanu I. 20. Tshimanga K.
Substitutes
20. Birch G. 46. Cayless L. 19. Cox S. 18. Oakes L. 8. Perry T. 22. Phillips F. (G) 23. Sutherland E.	1. Ashby-Hammond T. (G) 7. Knowles T. 37. Liwala A. 9. Maskell J. 32. Noel-Williams I. 10. Ofoborh N. 12. Wright W.
Coaches
Taylor M.	Brennan D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Comley B. 🟨,
27', Oluwabori A. ↓, Sutherland E. ↑,
41', Lakin C. 🟨,
45+2', Gordon J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Comley B. ↓, Knowles T. ↑,
58', Doyle-Hayes J. ↓, Perry T. ↑,
60', 0 - 1, Kanu I. ⚽,
62', Reeves J. ↓, Ofoborh N. ↑,
66', Kenlock M. ↓, Wright W. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Cole R. ⚽, Edwards G. (A),
73', Lakin C. ↓, Noel-Williams I. ↑,
73', Kanu I. ↓, Maskell J. ↑,
73', Gordon J. ↓, Cox S. ↑,
82', Noel-Williams I. 🟨,
86', Knowles T. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 5.

Exeter is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Barnet is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Barnet may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Barnet might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Exeter: Turns E. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Exeter: Kite H. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Barnet: Liwala A. (Inactive) Smith K. (Inactive)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:13. (average 2.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 2.4:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Barnet	8	5	3	0	20:11	9	18
14	Exeter	10	3	3	4	6:6	0	12

Last Results with these Odds

Exeter City - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 29.83%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Barnet - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 44.87%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Exeter City
English League Two
29.08.26	York City - Exeter City	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Exeter City - Accrington Stanley	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Grimsby Town - Exeter City	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
10.08.26	Plymouth Argyle - Exeter City	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Exeter City - Bristol City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLT
- Barnet
English League Two
29.08.26	Barnet - Cheltenham Town	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Shrewsbury Town - Barnet	1:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
18.08.26	Barnet - Arsenal U21	5:1 ✺
English League Two
15.08.26	Barnet - Salford City	3:1 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Cambridge United - Barnet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
02.11.24	Exeter City - Barnet	5:3
English League Two
30.12.17	Exeter City - Barnet	2:1
12.09.17	Barnet - Exeter City	1:2
14.04.17	Exeter City - Barnet	2:1
15.10.16	Barnet - Exeter City	1:4
25.03.16	Exeter City - Barnet	1:1
31.10.15	Barnet - Exeter City	2:0

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