Match Info

Premier League - Round 29

Date: 19 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Hamz Stadium (Kampala)


	Express		Lugazi Municipal

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.88	2.98
	2.35	2.98	3.05
	2.3	2.75	2.9
	2.4	2.89	2.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.28)	2.88 ↓ (2.96)	2.97 ↓ (3)

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Express
38.3%

Draw
31.3%

Lugazi Municipal
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

30.5%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

29.9%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Express has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Lugazi Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Express than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugazi Municipal than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Express - Lugazi Municipal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 13).

In recent matches, Express has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lugazi's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Express may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Express won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Express won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Lugazi	5	2	0	3	4:9	-5	6
11	Express	4	1	1	2	3:4	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Express FC
Ugandan Super League
12.05.26	Express - Kitara	3:2 ✺
28.04.26	Mbarara City - Express	2:1 ✺
24.04.26	Express - Bul	0:2 ✺
21.04.26	Express - NEC FC	0:0 ✺
15.04.26	UPDF - Express	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WLLTW
- Lugazi Municipal FC
Ugandan Super League
12.05.26	Bul - Lugazi Municipal	0:0 ✺
06.05.26	Lugazi Municipal - Mbarara City	0:1 ✺
29.04.26	Buhimba United Saints - Lugazi Municipal	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Lugazi Municipal - Kitara	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	Lugazi Municipal - Villa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
20.11.25	Lugazi Municipal - Express	0:0
06.03.25	Lugazi Municipal - Express	1:0
22.10.24	Express - Lugazi Municipal	0:1

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