Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 16

Date: 19 May 2025, Monday

Location: Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Fénix		Argentino de Merlo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.1	2.95	1.85
	4.4	3.1	1.89
	4.25	3.06	1.86
	4.36	3.12	1.86	Watch
	4.4	2.9	1.91
	4.48	3.14	1.85
	4.4	3.1	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.34 ↑ (3)	3.05 ↑ (2.99)	1.87 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fénix
21.1%

Draw
30%

Argentino de Merlo
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

31%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

30.8%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fénix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fénix's form might have worsened.

Argentino de Merlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Argentino de Merlo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fénix than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fénix, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Merlo than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Argentino de Merlo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Fénix - Argentino de Merlo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fénix will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Argentino de Merlo will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Argentino de Merlo will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cordero R. (G) 4. Bembo J. 2. Acosta M. 6. Rojas I. 3. Rodriguez J. 8. Busto J. (C) 5. Perez F. 10. Hernandez B. 11. Breccia R. 7. Silva D. 9. Anriquez D.	1. Atamanuk C. (G) 4. Marcial C. 2. Zarate E. 6. Lopez V. 3. Gomez A. F. 8. Ledesma M. I. 5. Romero L. (C) 7. Salvador A. 10. Gomez M. 9. Lucas Delgado 11. Guerra A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Silva D. 🟨,
28', Perez F. 🟨,
38', Acosta M. 🟨,
42', Busto J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', Silva D. 🟨,
61', Lopez V. 🟨,
66', Gomez M. ↓, Scisci G. ↑,
74', Guerra A. ↓, Maldonado F. ↑,
75', Hernandez B. ↓, Rizzo F. ↑,
80', Ledesma M. I. ↓, Gaitan T. ↑,
80', Gomez A. F. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
81', Salvador A. ↓, Scarnato L. ↑,
81', Anriquez D. ↓, Mayor J. ↑,
81', Breccia R. ↓, Florentin C. ↑,
82', 0 - 1, Maldonado F. ⚽,
84', Perez F. ↓, Auteri S. ↑,
88', Lucas Delgado 🟨,
90', 0 - 2, Romero L. ⚽,
90+2', Scarnato L. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 and 10).

Recent form of Fénix has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Argentino de Merlo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Fénix may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Argentino de Merlo could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fénix won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Fénix won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Fénix Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera B
11.05.25	Argentino de Quilmes - Fénix	3:0 ✺
05.05.25	Fénix - Villa Dálmine	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Deportivo Flandria - Fénix	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Fénix - Deportivo Laferrere	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	Liniers - Fénix	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLTL
- Argentino de Merlo
Argentinian Primera B
10.05.25	Argentino de Merlo - Deportivo Laferrere	0:2 ✺
04.05.25	Liniers - Argentino de Merlo	1:3 ✺
25.04.25	Argentino de Merlo - Comunicaciones	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Deportivo Armenio - Argentino de Merlo	0:0 ✺
13.04.25	Argentino de Merlo - San Martín de Burzaco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
19.08.24	Fénix - Argentino de Merlo	0:1
30.03.24	Argentino de Merlo - Fénix	0:0
10.07.23	Fénix - Argentino de Merlo	1:2
11.03.23	Argentino de Merlo - Fénix	2:0

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